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Lele

Lele

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Lele
Lele
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LeleAug 20 at 08:10 AM

$TFC(300394.SZ)

If the stock price first pulls back to the 257-260 zone (near MA10) before initiating a wide-grid position building, the risk-reward ratio would be more favorable. In the current high-level consolidation phase, a fine grid is better suited for capturing intraday volatility of 6-8%, but strict stop-loss protection is required.

Grid spacing: Wide grid ±10% (approx. ±26 CNY); Fine grid ±4% (approx. ±11 CNY)

Strong bullish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA30 > MA20), YTD gain of +91.4%

However, warnings from multiple resonances: extreme overbought conditions with BIAS at +23%, KDJ death cross at high levels (K 83.6 < D 86.0), and the combination of high AR with extremely low BR.

Significant short-term pullback risk exists, with MA10 (267 CNY) as the first key support. Risk Management: Given the stock's average daily amplitude of 6-8% and a 52-week maximum drawdown of 58% (374→155), it is recommended that total position size does not exceed 15-20% of personal investable assets, leaving ample margin.

Extreme Market Protection: A stop-loss line can be set 5% below the lower boundary (Wide grid 142 CNY / Fine grid 222 CNY). Once triggered, pause grid operations and wait for stabilization before re-evaluating.

Earnings/Event Window: Monitor the Q3 2026 earnings release date (expected late October). Pause grid operations around the earnings period to avoid gap risk.

Dynamic Center Adjustment: If the stock price continues to trade above MA20 for over 2 weeks, shift the center up to the latest MA20 value; if it breaks below MA30, shift the center down and widen the grid spacing.

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LeleAug 20 at 07:26 AM

$PC Partner(PCT.SG)

Grid Spacing

Plan A (Wide Grid) 2-4 weeks ~8% (0.23 SGD) Core Position: If it breaks below 2.42 unprotected ->2.67->2.42

Plan B (Tight Grid) 1-2 weeks ~4.5% (0.13 SGD) Satellite/Short-term Position: Grid becomes invalid after breaking below 2.67 -> 2.81->2.74->2.67

Stop-loss: If it breaks below 2.00 SGD (May breakout level, -30% from current), pause the grid and reassess.

Breakout Level: If volume confirms a breakout above 3.25 and holds, shift the grid up—the new center at 3.25, extending upside to 3.50.

Position Cap: PCT should not exceed 10% of the total portfolio (79% annualized volatility, classified as a high-risk asset).

Earnings Window: Next earnings announcement expected around Feb 2027 (FY2026). Narrow the grid or pause one week prior to the announcement.

GPU Supply Catalyst: If NVIDIA releases new products or memory price inflection points are confirmed, fundamental assumptions need to be adjusted and the grid reset.

Core View: PCT is currently in a short-term overbought pullback but maintains a sound medium-term trend. Fundamentals show decent profit quality, though supply bottlenecks loom in H2. Plan A suits core position management for "pioneer" style investors, while Plan B is better for small-position short-term volatility capture. Regardless of the approach, strict stop-losses and position caps are mandatory—for a stock with 79% annualized volatility, a 20-30% drawdown is entirely normal.

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LeleAug 20 at 06:16 AM

$INSILICO(03696.HK)

Grid Setup: Prioritize Grids 1-2. We recommend activating 2 grids above and below to avoid exceeding purchasing power. With 500 shares per grid, the max buy requirement is HKD 37,900. Given a purchasing power of HKD 32,858, Grid 1 is actionable. Step size is ~HKD 0.24.

Stop-loss at HKD 29.50: This sits just below the 52-week low (29.98). A break below signals a fundamental shift, invalidating the grid strategy.

Watch for the Aug 31 MSCI effective date: Passive inflows could push the price into the dense MA zone (44-45), an ideal trigger to sell on Grid 1.

Expected Profit per Grid: Based on a 5.8% step, each full buy-sell cycle yields ~HKD 1,200/lot. Triggering 1-2 times monthly generates HKD 1,200-2,400, sufficient to cover financing interest.

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LeleAug 20 at 05:58 AM

$XTALPI(02228.HK)

Grid buy paused as price broke below the lower bound of 6.80; waiting for stabilization to reassess the range. The Bollinger Band lower track at 6.34 serves as extreme support; a break below would trigger a stop-loss.

The grid upper bound is 8.60. Keep the core position (the core portion of your 6,000 shares) untouched, and only trade the grid positions with high sell-low buy. Step size: 0.3.

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LeleAug 20 at 05:56 AM

$XTALPI(02228.HK)

Short-term: 8.40-8.60 is a dense resistance zone (Bollinger upper band + previous high), where the rebound may face headwinds. If your grid sell layers are set at 8.30-8.55, you can expect automatic position reduction and profit locking in this area.

Medium-term: The MA10/MA20 death cross has not yet been repaired; we need to observe whether it can sustain above 8.0 for the next 2-3 days. If so, the death cross will be resolved, and the trend will turn bullish.

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LeleJun 24 at 02:07 PM

$AXT(AXTI.US) Why does it keep falling?

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LeleMay 27 at 10:27 PM

Grid trading is a good tool.

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