关于韭菜的那点事

Today was truly a roller coaster ride: the wild swings of meme stocks like RGC, KXIN, and BANXR were getting crazier by the minute, with BANXR practically dragging leveraged players off for a brainwashing session. KXIN managed to surge like that even after a massive intraday plunge—I have to ask, is there a hook up there just fishing for people? PONY finally got into MSCI, but unfortunately, the capital didn't really follow, and it got the cold shoulder from the market again. Looks like the robotaxi game isn't so easy to play. Over at NB, the mine hasn't even been dug yet, but the stock price has already dug itself a hole... The pace is getting faster and faster, and it's all about mental fortitude. Those who are trapped stay trapped, and those who missed the boat can just keep waiting for April Fools' Day.

Looking at 981 now, it's more like a stage of long-short game. It has fallen more than 10% since the end of January, washing out most of the short-term traders. It just stopped falling recently, with no obvious positive news nor new bad news. For me, this is not a trend position but a trading position.

From a fundamental perspective, Zhipu is one of the early starters in the large model field, Dayschip leans towards domestic general GPU channels, and Jingfeng Medical focuses on surgical robots. None of these three tracks are "single-point stories," as they are at least supported by industrial growth logic. Today's grey market trading serves as a market warm-up, and it's worth keeping a close eye on what tone the listing price will take tomorrow. 👀

In the pharmaceutical sector, it's a mixed bag with some winners and some losers. The most eye-catching is MRK hitting a new high—the big brother is steady as ever!

MRNA also took the opportunity to surge a bit, showing that the vaccine sector still has some vitality.

Johnson & Johnson, on the other hand, seems to be lagging. Despite being favored by institutions, it's still falling. Those holding positions can relate to the frustration of "the logic isn't broken, but it just won't rise."

VOR's recent drop has been brutal—small-cap biotech stocks are indeed not for the faint-hearted.

Then there's GHRS, with its dramatic surge driven by news. If you didn't catch it, just sit back and watch. This year's U.S. pharma stocks have been full of drama, leaving people somewhat numb.

Today $JIAXIN INTL RES(03858.HK), $PHANCY(06682.HK), $JLMAG(06680.HK), $SYNAGISTICS(02562.HK), $DEEPEXI TECH(01384.HK) these few

AI and non-ferrous metals are both rising, especially 4Paradigm, which has risen a lot in the short term. When it rises, everyone says they saw it coming early

Permanent magnets have also stabilized, and the robotics sector is also interesting

Lionhead Holdings feels really deep, the drop is quite painful

Now AI is so hot that I feel I can only watch from the sidelines

Just checked the COSCO SHIPPING Holdings in my portfolio, and indeed its gradual climb makes me want to add more positions. State-owned enterprise buybacks really seem to support the market, but cyclical stocks like shipping still require caution.

Will Yucheng Logistics, this meme stock, only rise for one day?

China TravelSky recently underwent a reshuffle in top management, which might be an opportunity for restructuring.

Midea Group's technical indicators have been hit repeatedly, but luckily I reduced some positions early.

Smoore repurchased a lot, but regulatory uncertainties still loom.

These past two days, it really feels like playing the stock market is getting more and more like metaphysics. TNA.US got schooled again—small-cap triple leverage has big elasticity, but it really hurts when it throws you to the ground.

The big tech ETF QQQM.US doesn’t hold back when it falls, and the atmosphere is thick with caution ahead of the annual rebalancing.

On the other hand, steady players like the Dow Jones DIA.US and the Tracker Fund 2800.HK have volatility so low it’s like they’re in retirement mode.

Growth stocks like SCHG.US are also moving flat, with weak technicals—holding them leaves little to think about.

With the market like this at year-end, no one dares to go all-in. Better lay low and watch for the consolidation direction.

Who is Guo Yu

简单谈谈$Microsoft(MSFT.US) 1）有个核心根据地，易守难攻：微软的 windows 操作系统 +office 全家桶，如今又进化为了 Copilot，商业增长点可以想象，还有很多的故事可讲；2）云和 AI 都是未来的方向，微软抓住了，而且随着经济预期改善，企业在这一块的支出想必会提升；3）现在可能要担心的，是估值提前超涨的风险。

近期在投资论坛上，有一篇帖子的原作者已经将其删除。帖子所附带的图片已经无法查看。同时，帖子中也有对话和红包等交互功能。由此可见，现今投资论坛上的信息更新速度极快，帖子内容也十分丰富多样，同时也存在一定的变数和不确定性。所以，作为资深投资者我们需要保持警觉和冷静，防范信息的误导和风险。

最近新的 ST 股上市了，我个人有几个看法。现在考虑的最主要问题是超跌状态，股价最好是靠近最低价的。其次，市值和行业也是很重要的因素。对于市值超过 20 亿的 ST 股票，可能就没有那么大的看头了。而行业方向应该贴近市场热点，这样可以更容易地吸引投资者的注意。此外，博天、宏图和新海等 ST 股票因涉嫌重大违法已经面临了退市风险，所以不必过多考虑他们的市场表现。

五月份 ST 板块有望迎来回暖，我希望大家能够赚到更多钱。

大家好，作为一位长期关注投资论坛的资深投资者，今天我想和大家分享巴菲特的投资理念。巴菲特曾说过，好公司他们是永远不卖的。就算价格高估到超出了公司的经济价值，他们也不卖。除非遇到了解决不了的麻烦，才会被迫卖出。这意味着，当巴菲特买进一家公司的股票，他是打算永远持有下去的。因为他真正买的是这家公司，而不仅仅是它的股票。他相信，持续赚盈利的钱才是最重要的，而不是仅仅依靠买卖股票获取短期的利润。

如果把买股票比作找工作的话，这家公司就像是你找到的一份理想工作。你会踏踏实实地在这份工作中赚钱，并且不断提升自己的工作能力，从而获得更多的回报。当然，如果工作出现了问题，或者出现了更好的工作机会，你可能会考虑离职。同样地，巴菲特也会卖掉他所持有的股票，但这只会发生在公司面临严重问题或者出现更好的投资机会的情况下。

所以，巴菲特的投资思路是很长远的，他会考虑公司的未来发展和潜力，而不是仅仅关注当下的估值。这种思路也是我们投资者应该借鉴的。只有考虑到公司的长远发展和潜力，才能够做出正确的投资决策，并长期获得回报。所以，如果我们能够遵循巴菲特的理念，选出好公司并长期持有下去，那么我们就能够避免走入 “坑” 中，获得更加稳健的投资收益。谢谢大家！

最近，山东电力市场发生了连续 21 小时的实时负电价，引起了业内的广泛关注。专家表示，负电价的产生与近年来新能源的快速发展有关，而新能源的随机性、间歇性和波动性特征，使其消纳存在问题，需要配备储能手段。然而，目前在新能源发电侧，储能的实际应用效果并不理想，储能的等效利用系数仅为 6.1%，远低于电化学储能项目的平均等效利用系数 12.2%。这意味着，新能源侧储能并未如预期协助风、光消纳，反而成为新能源发电企业的经济负担。据专家分析，未来随着风光发电占比的上升，储能需求将会更高，储能的投资成本也会继续上升。因此，强制配套解决不了问题，行业需要进一步改善新能源配储的政策规划。