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PRECIOUS-Gold drops on stronger dollar, rising bets on higher interest rates

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Oil prices surged on Thursday, with WTI up over 11% and Brent crude rising by 7%, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to supply following President Trump's threats against Iran. Gold prices fell sharply as the dollar strengthened, limiting demand for precious metals. Base metals also retreated amid escalating tensions. Trump's announcement of intensified military operations and threats to Iran's power infrastructure contributed to market volatility. The situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains critical, with discussions among nations ongoing, but the US is not participating.

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Commodity wrap: WTI up 11% as Trump escalates Mideast conflict; gold slips

.SPX

Iran and Oman draft a navigation agreement for the Strait of Hormuz, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes turning higher. WTI crude oil prices fell below $107/barrel, while spot gold rose $24.41/ounce. Emerging market currencies showed strength, with the Brazilian Real and Colombian Peso gaining, and the Mexican Peso and South African Rand narrowing their losses

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Iran and Oman Draft Strait of Hormuz Transit Agreement, S&P Turns Higher, Emerging Market Currencies Rise

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Initial cues from the U.S. Futures Index indicate a significant drop for Wall Street at the open on Thursday, amid ongoing Middle East tensions. President Trump has threatened to strike Iran 'extremely hard,' contributing to market volatility. Dow futures fell 697 points, S&P 500 futures dropped 110 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures decreased by 512 points. Oil prices surged while gold prices fell sharply. Asian markets also experienced declines, with China's Shanghai Composite down 0.74% and Japan's Nikkei down 2.38%.

- Initial indicators show that Wall Street is likely to open significantly lower due to ongoing Middle East tensions and warnings from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding Iran.  
- Oil prices have surged while gold prices dropped by 2.9 percent, and U.S. stock futures indicate substantial declines, including a 697-point fall for Dow futures.  
- Economic data releases, including U.S. trade deficit figures and jobless claims, are anticipated, while Asian markets also faced declines amid regional reactions to the conflict.

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Wall Street Sees Red At Open

UBS noted that the structural trend of gold purchases by the official sector has not changed, and despite a slowdown in pace, central banks will remain net buyers of gold. As market concerns over the "low growth + high inflation" combination and geopolitical tensions intensify, the medium-to-long-term upward trend for gold is strengthening, with the year-end target price maintained at $5,600

- The article discusses fluctuations in the gold market amid tensions in Iran, noting a significant price drop of 16% in March.  
- UBS asserts that despite concerns about central banks selling gold, the overall trend in gold purchases remains strong, with a forecast of an average price at $5,000 and a year-end target of $5,600.  
- While short-term volatility may temper strategic buying, robust demand from China is expected to support prices and provide a foundation for future growth.

Central Bank Gold Purchases: The End of an Era?

Sprott Active Gold & Silver Miners ETF

Invesco Db Precious Metals ETF

FL2CSOPGOLD

PRECIOUS-Gold falls as Trump gives no clarity on ending Iran war

PRECIOUS-Gold prices slump as Trump threatens more attacks on Iran

In 2025, global banks' precious metals trading desks achieved a record revenue of $3.9 billion, the highest in a decade, driven by significant market dislocations and increased trading volumes. Veteran traders described the year as tumultuous, with gold and silver prices surging. Factors such as U.S. tariffs and heightened demand from hedge funds contributed to the volatility and profit opportunities. Major banks capitalized on price differentials between London and New York, while trading volumes surged, prompting firms to expand their precious metals offerings. The market saw increased activity in options trading, further boosting dealer revenues.

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Gold Traders Made a Record $3.9 Billion in 2025, Coalition Says

Oil Crisis Will Be 'Much Worse' in April, IEA -2-

marketscreener

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Invesco DB Multi Sector Comm TR Oil Fd ETF

Oil Crisis Will Be 'Much Worse' in April, IEA -2-

Gold prices have surged above $4,500 per ounce, but analyst Mike McGlone warns this may indicate a generational peak. The recent rise was fueled by a weaker dollar and potential de-escalation in the Iran conflict. McGlone notes gold's volatility has increased, and it may face its largest monthly decline since the 1980s due to hawkish monetary policy. He also suggests that silver's recent surge could signify a historic peak. The future of precious metals will depend on the ongoing conflict in Iran, with potential price fluctuations between $4,000 and $5,000 per ounce.

Gold’s explosive surge may mark a generational peak, analyst warns

Global X MSCI Vietnam ETF

VanEck Vietnam ETF

SNAPSHOT-Vietnam dong, gold rates - April 1

The departure reasons for two senior metals traders, Vincent Domien and Mathew O’Neill, are unknown. When they joined, Tether was in the midst of a record-breaking gold purchasing year, aiming to build the "world's best gold trading desk." However, gold prices fell in March under multiple pressures, and both gold and Bitcoin faced pressure simultaneously. Analysis suggests Tether chose to downsize the team after completing its position building

- Tether, a leading stablecoin issuer, has laid off senior metal traders Vincent Domien and Mathew O'Neill, who joined from HSBC amid a record year for gold purchases.  
- The layoffs come as Tether faces pressure from declining gold prices and ongoing market volatility, with gold experiencing its worst monthly performance since 2008 due to various economic factors.  
- This personnel change coincides with Tether's efforts to undergo a significant transformation, including its first comprehensive financial audit and a pause on raising up to $20 billion in external funding until the audit is completed.

After Aggressive Gold Buying, "Stablecoin Leader" Tether Suddenly Dismisses 2 Gold Traders, Only "Months After" Poaching Them from HSBC

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SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, has increased its holdings by 1.143 tons, bringing the current total to 1,047.276 tons. According to Jin10, this adjustment reflects ongoing shifts in investor sentiment towards precious metals amid global economic uncertainties. The increase in holdings suggests a growing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset, potentially influenced by recent market volatility and geopolitical tensions. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as they assess the implications for future gold prices and market stability.

CoinLive

TAUNG GOLD

E Fund Gold ETF

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PRECIOUS METALS | SPDR Gold Trust Holdings Increase by 1.143 Tons

Gold prices surged on Tuesday, with Front Month Comex Gold rising by $118.90 (2.61%) to $4,676.40 per troy ounce, following reports that President Trump is considering ending the Middle East conflict. Silver also saw a significant increase. Amid ongoing tensions, Trump appears to favor diplomatic solutions over military action regarding Iran, while U.S. troops remain deployed in the region. The U.S. dollar weakened, and economists raised concerns about stagflation, although Goldman Sachs predicts gold could reach $5,400 per troy ounce by 2026.

nasdaq

Gold Surges As Reports Indicate Trump Plans To End The Gulf War

The demand for precious metals has cooled in recent months, but that could change if investors grow concerned about the economy.

Tianhong Shanghai Gold ETF

Gold and silver prices are crashing. What's more likely to bounce back?

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PRECIOUS-Gold drops on stronger dollar, rising bets on higher interest rates

Commodity wrap: WTI up 11% as Trump escalates Mideast conflict; gold slips

Iran and Oman Draft Strait of Hormuz Transit Agreement, S&P Turns Higher, Emerging Market Currencies Rise

Wall Street Sees Red At Open

Central Bank Gold Purchases: The End of an Era?