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  • D
    Dolphin ResearchAug 21 at 03:18 PM

    Tier-1 cities ease again: Has BEKE turned the corner?

    China's leading real estate services platform — $KE(BEKE.US) — reported Q2 2026 results on Aug 21, with a slight revenue beat and profits improving sharply to near record highs, well ahead of estimates.

    Supported by pro-housing policies and a rebound in top-tier city transactions, BEKE's fundamentals have started to bottom out and recover as expected.

    1) Existing-home recovery: with policy support driving a notable pickup in core markets such as Shanghai, existing-home GTV growth stabilized and rebounded, up approx. 8% YoY, broadly in line with major banks' expectations...

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    BEKE (KE.US) earnings wrap Rmbmn 1024 2Q24 3024 4Q24 1025 2025 3025 4025 1026 20
    Figure 4: Real-time data shows secondary transaction units in 12 major cities as
    500 $bn 400 Top100 300 200 ninRese orch 100 0 developer Sales Value Source: Jan-+15
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    Dolphin ResearchAug 21 at 01:59 PM

    BEKE (Trans): Net margin at 3-yr high, revenue still contracting

    Non-GAAP net profit rose 74.9% YoY to RMB 3.185bn, with net margin at 13%, a three-year high. However, revenue still fell 5.7% YoY.

    Home renovation revenue dropped 30.1% YoY, and contract value will convert to revenue only after the construction period. Meanwhile, the company is betting heavily on deeper services, data, and its platform ecosystem, restructuring agent workflows with a 'relationship manager + AI' model.

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    Dolphin ResearchAug 21 at 11:31 AM

    BEKE 2Q26 First Take: solid results. Total revenue came in slightly above estimates, driven by a better-than-expected recovery in the core brokerage business. However, the home improvement biz. underperformed with a widening revenue decline.

    The bigger surprise was earnings: Adj. profit reached RMB 3.2bn vs. the Street’s ~RMB 2.4bn. Despite declining revenue, profit surged 75% YoY, underscoring strong cost control and efficiency gains.

    The market is likely to react positively. However, given the business’s high cyclicality, the trajectory of the housing market will determine whether BEKE pushes to new highs or consolidates after the good news is priced in. $KE(BEKE.US) $BEKE-W(02423.HK)

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    LongbridgeAIAug 13 at 07:21 AM

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  • D
    Dolphin ResearchMay 26 at 08:40 AM

    BEKE rolls out HK buyback shield; Xiaomi faces earnings test tonight | Daily News Recap

    0526 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry. 1) The US and Iran reached a framework for an MoU; Iran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days of signing, the US would unfreeze $12bn of Iranian assets, and both sides would implement a ceasefire.

    This would significantly ease near-term Middle East tensions and stabilize the global energy supply chain (about 30% of crude flows through the strait). It supports a pullback in oil and a rebound in energy stocks.

    However, the arrangement is temporary and does not address core issues such as Iran's nuclear program. Longer-term execution remains uncertain.

    2) Hang Seng Indexes Company announced the results of its regular quarterly index rebalancing. ...

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    Dolphin ResearchMay 19 at 06:46 PM

    BEKE (Trans): Spring rebound is real; Q2 volumes up

    Below is Dolphin Research's summary of $KE(BEKE.US) FY26 Q1 earnings call. For our take on the results, see 'BEKE: Real turn or another 'fake' bounce?'.

    I. Key highlights — 1) Shareholder returns: repurchased approx. $195 mn in the quarter (+~40% YoY). Since the buyback program launched in Sep 2022, total spend reached approx. $2.7 bn, with repurchased shares equal to about 1% of total shares outstanding at end-2025. As of end-Q1 ...

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    BEKE : (KE.US) earnings wrap Rmbmn 1Q24 2024 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26
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    Dolphin ResearchMay 19 at 06:43 PM

    BEKE: Real reversal or another dead-cat bounce?

    China’s leading property services platform — $KE(BEKE.US) — released its 2026 Q1 results pre-mkt on May 19. Overall, while the housing market has begun to find a floor, it is still facing headwinds.

    With adjustments in the home improvement and rental units, revenue remained sharply down YoY. That said, proactive headcount rationalization, higher GPM, and disciplined opex drove earnings that beat by a wide margin.

    Specifically: 1) Existing-home transactions are starting to bottom. Supported by a series of backstop measures announced by top-tier cities in Feb–Mar (easing purchase curbs and raising housing provident fund loan caps), the core existing-home brokerage business showed signs of bottoming and stabilizing this quarter...

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    BEKE : (KE.US) earnings wrap Rmbmn 1Q24 2024 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26
    Figure 3: Real-time data shows secondary transaction units in 6 major cities as
    Existing home GTV Rmb '00mn 8,000 100% 78% 7,000 inResearch DolphinResearch Dolp+14
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    Dolphin ResearchMay 19 at 01:16 PM

    BEKE 1Q26 First Take: Overall, the quarter screened as a solid beat vs. expectations. Despite most segments posting YoY revenue declines on a high base, profit inflected as the company streamlined headcount, lifted productivity, and tightened opex, with Adj. net profit up nearly 16% YoY and well ahead of the Street.

    In detail:

    1) Track 1 brokerage remains under pressure. GTV and revenue were both down YoY, with existing-home transactions proving resilient at a low-teens decline, while new-home fell 40%+ YoY.

    2) In Track 2, home improvement revenue fell Approx. 21% YoY on macro headwinds and a strategic refocus, notably worse than the Street’s -11% view. Leasing revenue dipped 1% YoY, mainly due to a recognition change for the high-touch 'Steward Rental' model from gross to net; underlying volume likely still grew Approx. 20–30%.

    3) While macro headwinds persist, margins improved across business lines. In Track 1 brokerage, segment margins expanded by 200–300bps YoY, slightly above expectations, driven by headcount rationalization and a modest reduction in agent commission splits.

    Margins in Track 2 exceeded expectations by a wider margin. Home improvement, despite smaller scale, delivered a 36% margin after materially optimizing the upstream supply chain and cutting customer acquisition spend. Leasing benefited from rapid growth in higher-margin 'Steward Rental,' lifting segment margin from 10.4% in the prior quarter to nearly 15%.

    4) Cost discipline also contributed meaningfully. Total opex fell Approx. 22% YoY vs. total revenue down 19% YoY, led by a sharp 39% cut in marketing spend, which came in just over RMB 1bn vs. the Street’s ~RMB 1.5bn.

    5) Overall, margin expansion did more of the heavy lifting, beating by Approx. RMB 240mn, while opex undershot by Approx. RMB 160mn. As a result, Adj. profit was Approx. RMB 1.6bn, nearly RMB 500mn above the Street. $KE(BEKE.US) $BEKE-W(02423.HK)

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    Dolphin ResearchMay 19 at 08:30 AM

    JD 618 Kicks Off Low-Price Deals; Tencent Speeds Up AI Monetization | Daily News Recap

    0519 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1) Trump announced on social media that, at the request of leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, the planned strike on Iran set for the 19th has been postponed. He said the US and Iran are in 'serious talks', while the three Gulf states fear an escalation could hit their own energy infrastructure. He also stressed that US forces remain on alert, warning that if talks collapse, a full-scale offensive would follow.

    This move keeps a window open for diplomacy while applying military pressure on Tehran. In the near term, it eases risks around Middle East oil prices and shipping, supporting global energy markets and risk appetite. Over the longer run, US-Iran rifts are unlikely to be resolved...

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    Dolphin ResearchMar 17 at 08:29 AM

    NVDA GTC in focus; Alibaba 'Token strategy' ramps up | Daily News Recap

    0317 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Stock #1, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) — NVIDIA's GTC 2026 officially kicked off, and founder & CEO Jensen Huang delivered the keynote.

    He announced a Vera Rubin Space Module under the next-gen Vera Rubin architecture, designed for orbital data centers, delivering 25x performance vs. H100.

    He also unveiled a partnership with Groq to co-develop new LPU chips...

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