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Bonds are having their best year since 2020. But don't expect the same returns next year.

The U.S. bond market is set to end 2025 with its best performance in five years, driven by Fed rate cuts, moderating inflation, and a slowing labor market. However, returns in 2026 may not be as strong due to uncertainties in inflation, interest rates, and already fallen Treasury yields. Bonds remain a key part of diversified portfolios for income and stability. Analysts suggest positive returns in 2026, but not as high as 2025.

Dow Jones·
US
BOND
-0.11%
Dow Jones·
US
BOND
-0.11%

Australia government cuts 2025/26 bond sales to A$125 billion

The Australian federal government plans to sell A$125 billion in Treasury bonds for the year ending June 2026, down A$25 billion from initial projections. A$62.5 billion has already been sold. Treasury indexed bonds issuance remains between A$2 billion and A$3 billion. New bonds for October 2037 and July 2036 are planned. Weekly Treasury bond tenders and monthly indexed bond tenders will be held. A Treasury note tender will be conducted most weeks, maintaining at least A$25 billion on issue.

Reuters·
Reuters·

Australia 10Y Bond Yield Rises

Australia's 10-year government bond yield rose to around 4.73%, nearing a two-year high, driven by hawkish signals from the Reserve Bank. The central bank maintained its cash rate but hinted at potential rate hikes in 2026 if inflation persists. Economists predict at least one rate increase next year, with a 30% chance in February and 80% in May. Weak productivity and potential inflation pressures could lead to higher borrowing costs. Investors await the RBA minutes for more policy insights.

Trading Economics·
Trading Economics·

South Korea financial regulator extends bond market stabilisation programmes

South Korea's Financial Services Commission has extended bond market stabilisation programmes through next year, citing risks from monetary policy changes and increased treasury bond issuance. The stabilisation funds total 37.6 trillion won ($25.5 billion) and real estate project financing support programmes worth 60.9 trillion won will be extended through 2026. The FSC will deploy market stabilising measures if necessary, due to rising bond yields and foreign exchange volatility. The Bank of Korea kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting last month.

Reuters·
US
BOND
-0.11%
Reuters·
US
BOND
-0.11%

TREASURIES-US yields decline for second day after Fed statement, data

U.S. Treasury yields declined for the second day following a dovish Federal Reserve rate decision and labor market data. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points and announced short-dated bond purchases to manage liquidity. Jobless claims rose, attributed to seasonal factors. Markets are pricing a 24.4% chance of a January Fed rate cut. The 10-year yield fell 2.3 basis points to 4.141%, while the 30-year yield dropped 0.4 basis points to 4.792%.

marketscreener·
US
BOND
-0.11%
marketscreener·
US
BOND
-0.11%
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