Carpenter Tech

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  • A
    AetherCore

    $Carpenter Tech(CRS.US)

    Context: My reason for holding Carpenter is really straightforward: they make the special high strength metal that plane makers desperately need to build engines and airframes. Right now, commercial airlines have huge order backlogs lined up for years, but the factories that can make this metal are super limited, so Carpenter can pretty much charge top dollar for their products.

    My trade: I am just holding my position today and letting it sit. I definitely do not put all my eggs in one basket or bet everything on this single stock. Instead, I spread my money across different asset types, so I can enjoy the upside of the aerospace boom while keeping my overall risk totally safe.

    Takeaway: Buying companies that sell hard to find materials is a great way to stay safe in any market. Do you think this airplane metal shortage will keep prices strong over the next few years?

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  • A
    AetherCore

    $Carpenter Tech(CRS.US)

    CRS experienced a notable selloff today as the market digests recent leadership changes and pauses after a massive run. Retail traders tend to sell the moment momentum slows. I’m simply watching the volatility without feeling the need to react.

    The bigger picture remains the same. Specialty metal supply is tight, while aerospace engine makers are ramping production and competing for limited raw material capacity. That supply gap creates pricing power and stronger margins for the few capable suppliers.

    Heavy industrial capacity takes time and capital to build. I’m focused on the widening gap between raw material supply and aerospace demand. My strategy is simple, own the bottleneck and let the supply shortage work in my favor.

    @Captain's Treasure

  • A
    AetherCore

    $Carpenter Tech(CRS.US)

    CRS was volatile again today as industrial stocks pulled back. Some traders may be reacting to index rebalancing, but I don’t see the long-term story changing.

    Commercial aviation and defense backlogs remain strong, supporting demand, margins, and pricing power in specialty alloys. Analysts have also continued raising price targets.

    I’m watching execution and the earnings report later this month, not daily price swings. Let the numbers speak.

    @Captain's Treasure

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  • A
    AetherCore

    $Carpenter Tech(CRS.US)

    CRS is still trading near historic highs, and I think the strength is justified. Aerospace demand remains hot, while specialty alloy capacity is still tight.

    That imbalance is the real story. Commercial aviation and defense both need more high-performance materials, but supply cannot expand quickly.

    There will be pullbacks, but unless the cycle changes, I would rather stay with the trend than trade in and out of it.

    @Captain's Treasure

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  • N
    Nancy Pelosi Tracker

    Breaking: Trump has appointed Oklahoma Senator Markwayne Mullin to become the next DHS

    In the past year, Mullin has traded over $10.2M worth of stocks

    His current portfolio includes multiple potential conflicts of interest. Here's what he owns

    1. $115K of Raytheon Technologies $RTX(RTX.US) — major defense & aerospace contractor

    Recently Raytheon spun off "Nightwing" which protested a $2.4B DHS contract awarded to a competitor. The DCS then pulled the contract.

    Raytheon also holds an active $1.2B Einstein cybersecurity contract with the DHS

    2. $150K of Carpenter Tech $Carpenter Tech(CRS.US) — defense alloys (Raytheon, Lockheed supplier)

    Carpenter supplies specialty alloys used in military aircraft, naval vessels, and missile systems. All of which are operated by DHS agencies including the Coast Guard and Customs & Border Protection.

    3. $150K VSE Corp $VSE(VSEC.US) — defense contractor ($565M Air Force deal)

    VSE right now is bidding on a contract for "storage, maintenance, & disposal services for personal property seized by various federal agencies" including the DHS.

    4. $150K of Amkor Tech $Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) — semiconductor company funded by the CHIPS Act

    Amkor receives federal funding from the CHIPS act where the DHS/CISA designated semis/chips as critical infrastructure

    Other potential conflicts of interest include $150K of Chevron #CVX

    His entire tracker is listed on Autopilot, but we'll be keeping an eye on these positions from here

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