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The S&P 500 Index is nearing 7,000 with volatility, facing resistance at 6,985 and support at 6,720. Breaking December lows often leads to bear markets, as seen in previous years. Despite recent selling, bullish signals persist with put-call ratios indicating buy signals. Market breadth remains strong, and new highs on the NYSE dominate. The VIX index shows bullish trends, although recent spikes raised concerns. As long as SPX stays above 6,720, bullish sentiment prevails, with earnings season approaching for major companies.

- The S&P 500 Index is nearing 7,000 with significant resistance at 6,985 and downside support at 6,720, indicating that a breach of December’s lows could trigger a bear market.  
- Recent market volatility saw a spike in the VIX due to a tariff announcement, but it fell back, creating a "spike peak" buy signal for stocks.  
- Earnings season is approaching, with guidance drawn from options market data, signaling potential volatility around earnings announcements, particularly for stocks like Tesla and Apple.

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Stock investors should be wary of buying the dip if the S&P 500 falls to this level

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The VIX index of the panic indicator rose by 0.45 points or 2.9%, closing at 16.09 points

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The VIX index rises by 3%

CBOE Volatility Index Jumps 3.2% Early Friday as Big-Tech Wobbles Following Intel Results Overnight

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CBOE Volatility Index Jumps 3.2% Early Friday as Big-Tech Wobbles Following Intel Results Overnight

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Mike Mussio, president of FBB Capital Partners, said that market volatility resulting from U.S. President Donald Trump's rhetoric and policies is likely to continue through the remainder of his presidency, but when that will occur next is "anybody's guess." Lisa Bernhard has more.

- Mike Mussio, president of FBB Capital Partners, expresses concerns about ongoing market volatility due to U.S. President Donald Trump's rhetoric and policies.  
- He suggests that this volatility is likely to persist for the remainder of Trump's presidency.  
- Mussio also acknowledges that predicting the next instance of volatility is uncertain.

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Market talk: More Trump-fueled market swings likely, says expert

The VIX index, a measure of market panic, fell by 1.26 points or 7.5%, closing at 15.64 points

The VIX Index fell by 7%

The month-on-month growth rate of personal income in the United States for October is 0.1%, lower than the previous value of 0.4%

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The month-on-month growth rate of personal income in the United States for October is 0.1%, lower than the previous value of 0.4%

Reminder: At 21:30 Beijing time, the actual GDP for the third quarter of the United States, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for the third quarter of the United States, and the number of initial jobless claims for the week of January 17 will be announced

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Delphi Digital indicates that the market may be mispricing volatility, suggesting a potential rise in the near future. The article highlights that when implied volatility is significantly below fair value, a pullback often follows, as seen last October. Conversely, when volatility is overvalued, it presents buying opportunities. Current indicators suggest that volatility is mispriced, leaning towards an upward trend.

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Delphi Digital: Based on market pricing patterns for volatility, the market is more likely to rise in the near future.

Global markets swung sharply Wednesday, gaining back some ground from Tuesday's dip but remaining volatile amid escalating rhetoric from President Donald Trump over control of Greenland

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Global markets turn sharply as Trump continues to push for control of Greenland

Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Katie Greifeld, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec.Bloomberg videos, provided by MT Newswires

Southern Copper

US Stocks Fall as 'Sell America' Sentiment Returns | Closing Bell

A "sell America" shock hit US assets on Tuesday, leading to significant declines in stocks, the dollar, and increased volatility. The S&P 500 fell 2.06%, marking its worst session since October, while the VIX spiked toward 21. Investors reacted to rising geopolitical risks linked to Trump's Greenland ambitions and upcoming talks with European leaders at Davos. This situation raises the probability of Trump softening his stance to stabilize markets. Investors will closely monitor his address at the World Economic Forum for potential shifts in tone that could ease volatility.

- US stocks experienced their worst decline since October, with major indexes entering negative territory for 2026 amid a policy-driven "sell America" shock.  
- The VIX index surged towards 21, reflecting increased investor protective measures, while the dollar weakened significantly and gold hit record highs, driven by escalating geopolitical risks linked to Trump’s foreign policies.  
- Investors are now closely monitoring Trump's upcoming address at Davos, hoping for signals of a softer stance that could stabilize market conditions and reduce volatility.

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Risk-off Tuesday hit US assets, raising Trump Davos de-escalation probability (TACO, yum!)

The crisis over Trump's attempt to seize Greenland has escalated, leading to a renewed tariff war between Europe and the United States. Global bond yields have surged, and U.S. stocks have fallen sharply, with the Dow closing down 870 points, and both the S&P and NASDAQ also experiencing significant declines. European stocks are under pressure across the board, and the VIX volatility index has risen above 20. Japanese government bonds have been sold off, causing yields to rise, and Citigroup has downgraded European stocks to neutral. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that the claim of Europe selling off U.S. bonds is illogical, and despite the demand for safe-haven assets, spot gold prices have risen above $4,700 for the first time

- On January 21, global stock markets fell sharply due to escalating geopolitical tensions and concerns over the U.S. economy, with the Dow Jones dropping 870 points and other indices following suit.  
- European stocks also experienced declines, as Citigroup downgraded their outlook amid uncertainties about tariffs and corporate earnings in the region.  
- Rising bond yields, particularly in Japan, led investors to reconsider their positions, with significant movements in gold and silver prices, indicating a flight to safe-haven assets.

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Trump's scheme to seize Greenland leads to a sell-off of dollar assets | Gu Tianhou

Trump's renewed tariff threats have shaken markets, revealing investor complacency. With volatility at an eight-year low, ETFs like ProShares VIX and low-volatility funds are gaining attention as protective measures against market shocks. Quality-focused ETFs and actively managed futures also offer diversification amid rising uncertainty. Gold ETFs are regaining popularity as a safe haven. As tariffs resurface, ETFs designed for volatility may be essential for navigating turbulent market conditions.

- The current challenge in the stock market is not tariffs, but rather investor denial of volatility risks.  
- Following renewed trade-war threats from President Trump, volatility returned, as evidenced by low VIX levels and elevated equity allocations, indicating little room for unexpected market movements.  
- Investment professionals are turning to volatility-linked ETFs and low-volatility strategies to navigate the uncertain landscape, while gold ETFs are regaining popularity as a hedge against political and economic instability.

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Tariffs Are Back, Complacency Isn't: ETFs That Could Benefit From A Volatility Shock

Volatility measures surged as President Trump's renewed tariff threats against Europe spooked investors, leading to a sell-off in U.S. assets. The Cboe Volatility Index reached an eight-week high of 20.69, while the S&P 500 Index fell 1.5%. The U.S. dollar dropped 0.6% against a basket of currencies. Despite the increase in volatility, expectations for FX fluctuations remain low. Analysts suggest that market reactions may feel more severe due to a prolonged period of low volatility, with potential for further increases if tariff threats persist without resolution.

Reuters

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Volatility gauges jump as tariff threats spook investors

US stocks fell sharply, with the Dow dropping over 700 points, amid concerns over President Trump's dispute with European leaders regarding Greenland. European stocks also declined, and a snap election in Japan further unsettled Asian markets, leading to a rise in Japanese bond yields.

- US stocks opened sharply lower, along with a decline in European stocks.  
- Concerns stemmed from President Donald Trump’s clash with European leaders regarding the ownership of Greenland.  
- Additionally, a snap election in Japan contributed to market volatility, resulting in surging Japanese bond yields.

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Dow tumbles more than 700 points and fear gauge surges over Greenland and tariff threats

WEBs QQQ Defined Volatility ETF(DVQQ.US)

Stock investors should be wary of buying the dip if the S&P 500 falls to this level

The VIX index rises by 3%

CBOE Volatility Index Jumps 3.2% Early Friday as Big-Tech Wobbles Following Intel Results Overnight

Market talk: More Trump-fueled market swings likely, says expert

The VIX Index fell by 7%