Wtree India Earnings

Indian Government Issues Directive to Strengthen Natural Gas Infrastructure

USD to INR Exchange Rate Reaches Historic Low

Indian Refineries Operating at Full Capacity to Meet Energy Demand

India's fuel sales in February grew by 5.8%, reaching 20.24 million tons

India expects nominal GDP growth of 10% and total revenue of 35.33 trillion rupees

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The Reserve Bank of India will conduct a $5 billion dollar/rupee swap auction on May 26 to address liquidity issues amid a weakening rupee. The rupee has fallen over 6% since the Iran war began, reaching a record low of 96.96 per dollar. The swap aims to mitigate liquidity drag from forex interventions and stabilize forward premiums, benefiting bond markets by maintaining surplus liquidity.

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India to conduct $5 billion dollar/rupee swap as FX pain persists

INDY

India's municipal bond market is set to expand as nearly a dozen cities prepare to issue bonds for the first time, driven by regulatory support and fiscal incentives. At least seven municipal bodies in Maharashtra aim to raise around 33 billion rupees ($340.8 million). The government has introduced measures to encourage bond issuance, including interest subsidies and incentives for first-time issuers. Major investors include the National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development.

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India's muni bond market expands as nearly dozen cities set for debut issues

The Indian rupee has fallen nearly 8% this year, making it Asia's worst-performing currency, despite the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) daily interventions of about $1 billion to stabilize it. High oil prices and rising U.S. Treasury yields are pressuring the rupee, which is nearing record lows. Bankers indicate that while RBI's actions slow the rupee's decline, they do not reverse it, with expectations for further measures to address current account pressures and improve capital flows.

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India central bank's daily $1 billion FX defence struggles to turn rupee tide, bankers say

India's 10-year bond yield reached 7.13%, the highest since May 2024, while the 5-year yield hit 6.934%, indicating rising borrowing costs. The rupee fell to an all-time low of 96.35 per U.S. dollar, making it one of the worst-performing currencies globally. Contributing factors include high oil prices, elevated U.S. Treasury yields, and tensions in the Middle East, which are increasing inflation risks and straining India's fiscal outlook.

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Indian bond yields hit multi-year highs as rupee sinks

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The Indian rupee fell to a record low of 96.96 per dollar due to elevated oil prices and rising global bond yields amid fears of further US interest rate hikes. The currency has dropped over 6% since the Iran war began in February. Analysts predict a weaker rupee forecast of 95-100 for 2026. Dollar sales by state-run banks helped limit the rupee's decline, while Indonesia's central bank raised rates to support its currency, reflecting regional strain from the conflict.

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Rupee hits record low of 96.96/$ on oil, US Treasury yield strain

09836

The UN has lowered India's 2026 GDP growth forecast to 6.4% from 6.6%, citing global uncertainties and the West Asia crisis. Despite this, India remains one of the fastest-growing major economies. The crisis is impacting growth and inflation, complicating monetary policy. The report highlights India's robust growth driven by consumer demand and public investment, although higher energy import costs pose challenges. Global GDP growth is also projected to be lower than pre-pandemic levels.

- The United Nations has revised India's economic growth forecast for 2026 to 6.4% from 6.6%, citing global uncertainties and impacts from the West Asia crisis.  
- Despite this revision, India remains among the fastest-growing major economies, driven by consumer demand and strong service exports, though it faces challenges from higher energy costs and global financial tightening.  
- The report indicates that global GDP growth is projected at 2.5% for 2026, reflecting ongoing economic pressures and the effects of rising import costs on exports.

ISHARES INDIA-U

UN cuts India's 2026 GDP forecast to 6.4% citing global uncertainties

The Indian rupee has fallen to a record low of 96.44 per U.S. dollar due to rising oil prices and increasing U.S. Treasury yields, exacerbated by the ongoing Iran conflict. Economists predict a significant widening of India's current account deficit, estimated between $65 to $70 billion this year. High crude prices are impacting India's external balances and inflation, with April's merchandise trade deficit reaching $28.38 billion. The situation is further complicated by rising U.S. yields, making it harder for India to attract necessary capital inflows.

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Rupee hits all-time low on mounting external finance pressures, rising US yields

India Ratings projects that the Reserve Bank of India will maintain the repo rate at 5.25% through FY27, citing stable inflation within the central bank's tolerance band. GDP growth is estimated at 6.7% with retail inflation at 4.4%. The report highlights potential pressures on domestic growth from global inflation trends and crude prices, alongside subdued private investment due to economic uncertainties. The trade deficit is expected to reach 10.4% of GDP, the highest in a decade, influenced by elevated crude prices and currency depreciation.

RBI likely to hold repo rate at 5.25% through FY27, says India Ratings

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Indian firms are increasingly opting for floating-rate bonds to manage borrowing costs amid looming interest rate hikes. Four non-banking finance companies plan to raise approximately 85.50 billion rupees ($887.74 million) through these bonds, which offer lower initial costs and rising returns for investors. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to raise rates, driven by high inflation and oil prices, making floating-rate debt more attractive compared to fixed-rate options.

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Indian firms turn to floating-rate debt as interest rate hikes loom

The Indian rupee fell to a new low of 96.40 per dollar, influenced by rising crude oil prices and US Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year government bond yield increased to 7.13%. Analysts expect continued pressure on the rupee, with potential rate hikes by the RBI anticipated. India's balance of payments deficit could widen significantly, necessitating additional foreign exchange reserves. Brent crude prices are fluctuating above $110 per barrel.

Rupee hits fresh low, bond yields jump as crude oil prices surge

Wtree India Earnings(EPI.US)