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Awaiting next week's latest economic data from the United States, the dollar fell back from a two-week high on Friday. The US Dollar Index recently dropped 0.2% to 97.681. The dollar against the yen is currently at 157.2. Every 100 yen is quoted at 4.97 Hong Kong dollars. The euro against the dollar rose to 1.182. The pound against the dollar rose to 1.361. The dollar against the Swiss franc fell to 0.776. The dollar against the Canadian dollar fell to 1.368. The Australian dollar against the US dollar rose to 0.702

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"Foreign Exchange" focuses on U.S. data as the dollar retreats from a two-week high

The EUR/USD pair rebounded to 1.1817, up 0.34%, as the US Dollar weakened due to a risk-on sentiment. Despite a poor jobs report and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials, the Euro is expected to consolidate within the 1.1750-1.1830 range. Economic data showed improved US consumer sentiment, but German industrial production fell sharply by 1.9%. The ECB remains unconcerned about Euro volatility, while upcoming US economic reports will be closely watched. Technical analysis suggests a neutral to downward bias for EUR/USD, with key support at 1.1769 and resistance at 1.1837.

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EUR/USD Rebounds As Risk-On Mood Saps Dollar, Eyes Weekly Consolidation

The US Dollar Index rose over 0.6% this week, closing at 97.623 points in New York on Friday, an increase of 0.65% compared to last week. The Bloomberg Dollar Index reported 1190.76 points, with a cumulative increase of 0.20% this week

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The US Dollar Index rose more than 0.6% this week

The European Central Bank (ECB) is enhancing its liquidity lines to foreign central banks as part of the EU's strategy to strengthen economic ties and counterbalance the influence of the U.S. and China. This initiative aims to provide emergency euro funding, encouraging the use of the euro in global markets. Proposed changes to the ECB's repurchase agreements will ease borrowing terms for non-eurozone countries, potentially increasing the euro's role in international finance. However, risks remain regarding the euro's stability and the ECB's ability to manage foreign debt crises effectively.

- The ECB aims to facilitate access to euro liquidity for foreign central banks, enhancing Europe's economic and political alliances amidst competition with the U.S. and China.  
- Proposed changes include more favorable euro repurchase agreements, potentially increasing the euro's allure for global investment and trade while addressing the reliability of U.S. dollar liquidity in crises.  
- However, the ECB faces risks associated with extending loans against euro-denominated collateral, raising concerns about the impact on its reputation and financial stability.

Reuters

ANALYSIS-ECB's safety net is part of EU plan to court new allies

ECB's Kocher sees dollar weakness rather than euro strength

marketscreener

ECB's Kocher sees dollar weakness rather than euro strength

L5EW

ECB policymakers have expressed a stable outlook on monetary policy following their recent meeting, where interest rates were held steady. President Lagarde acknowledged the euro's strength but emphasized there is no specific exchange rate target. Other officials, including Stournaras and Villeroy, noted that inflation is on target and expectations are stable, while Kazaks warned that rapid euro strengthening could prompt a policy response. Overall, the ECB appears less concerned about the euro's recent fluctuations, particularly after it eased back to 1.18 against the US Dollar.

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Ossiam Euro STOXX 50 Equal Weight NR UCITS ETF -1C-EUR

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ECB policymakers repeat policy is in "good place"; ease tone on euro's strength

The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged. President Lagarde stated that the economic risks in the Eurozone are roughly balanced, and inflation is in line with the medium-term 2% target, but there is still uncertainty in the outlook. She mentioned that wage growth is slowing and that the central bank is paying attention to exchange rate issues, believing that exchange rates are important for economic growth and inflation outlook. Lagarde welcomed Trump's nomination of Waller as the Federal Reserve Chair

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Lagarde stated that recent inflation aligns with the medium-term inflation target and revealed that the ECB Governing Council had discussed exchange rate issues

The European Central Bank (ECB) plans to expand access to euro liquidity for more countries to enhance the euro's global role. This initiative, expected to be announced next week, includes lowering interest rates and easing borrowing caps for central banks. The ECB aims to make its repurchase agreements more attractive, particularly during financial crises. Currently, access is limited to eight neighboring countries, but the changes could strengthen smaller nations' financial resilience. ECB President Christine Lagarde has emphasized the importance of these liquidity lines amid shifting investor confidence in the dollar.

- The European Central Bank (ECB) is working to expand access to euro liquidity for more countries, making it cheaper and easier to strengthen the euro's international role amid uncertainty around the U.S. dollar.  
- Specific details of the plan, including lower interest rates and relaxed borrowing limits, are expected to be announced next week during the Munich Security Conference.  
- Current access to the liquidity provision facility, called Eurep, is limited to eight neighboring countries, primarily aimed at enhancing their resilience to financial market pressures.

EXCLUSIVE-ECB to widen access to euro loans in bid to boost global role, sources say

XDDX

欧洲央行周四决定将存款利率维持在 2% 不变，这是自去年 6 月以来连续第五次暂停降息。官员们正密切关注欧元升值对出口竞争力和通胀前景的影响。随着关税风险再度浮现，外部环境的不确定性正在加大，可能对经济增长和物价形成双重压力。

- 欧洲央行将存款利率维持在 2% 不变，已连续第五次暂停调整。  
- 欧元区通胀率降至 1.7%，低于目标，但面临升值和关税风险。  
- 市场预计未来两年内欧洲央行不会改变借贷成本。

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欧央行行长拉加德：通胀比往常更难预测，欧元走强与关税阴影下，欧央行连续第五次按兵不动

159561

513030

The yield on Germany's 10-year government bonds rebounded in the short term, returning above 2.095%, with an overall increase during the day. After the press conference of European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde began, it briefly fell to 2.078%, setting a new daily low. The euro against the US dollar briefly refreshed its daily high to above 1.1820

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European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: The inflation outlook is more difficult to predict than usual. A stronger euro could lead to inflation rates falling further below the target level. A stronger euro may suppress inflation. We are closely monitoring the (euro) exchange rate. The central bank discussed the exchange rate issue today. Since March (2025), the euro has strengthened. The impact of exchange rate fluctuations since last year is part of the baseline. However, the euro exchange rate remains within the average range

Lagarde: The European Central Bank discussed exchange rate issues today

The US dollar fell to a four-year low last week, while the euro and pound soared to five-year highs, and the Swiss franc reached its strongest level since 2015. The global currency market is experiencing the most intense volatility since April of last year. This has created excellent trading opportunities for Wall Street, as the dollar's safe-haven properties have diminished, and expectations of Trump's "weak dollar" policy have intensified the turmoil. Options betting on significant fluctuations in the dollar are currently at their highest level since April of last year

- The global foreign exchange market is experiencing heightened volatility after months of calm, presenting lucrative opportunities for traders.  
- The U.S. dollar hit a four-year low while the euro soared to a five-year high, driven by unpredictable policy shifts and uncertainty surrounding U.S. monetary policies.  
- Major currency fluctuations are prompting increased trading interest, with hedge funds actively seeking profits from volatility as the dollar's traditional safe-haven status diminishes.

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The turmoil in the foreign exchange market intensifies! Trump's "weak dollar" expectations trigger a resurgence in options trading

The U.S. dollar steadied as traders await interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England, both expected to hold rates steady. The dollar index rose 0.2% to 96.671, while the euro remained stable at $1.1800. Analysts predict minor communication tweaks from the ECB, with a focus on uncertainty. The British pound was flat at $1.3650. Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook expressed concerns over inflation, signaling no support for rate cuts. The dollar slipped slightly against the yuan after a Trump-Xi phone call discussing trade issues.

FOREX-Dollar recovers as central bank decisions loom

The dollar index remained stable at around 97.65, up over 0.2%. The Japanese yen has depreciated for four consecutive days ahead of Japan's election, with the U.S. dollar nearing 157 yen, hitting a two-week high at 156.94. Commodity currencies weakened, with the Australian dollar below 0.7, down 0.4%, and the New Zealand dollar at 0.6, falling over 0.7%. The U.S. dollar rose 0.2% against the Canadian dollar, above 1.366, while the British pound fell 0.3% to around 1.365, and the euro remained steady at 1.18 against the U.S. dollar.

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Dollar Index Steady Amid Japanese Election and Currency Fluctuations

513080

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged amid a stable economic outlook, despite concerns over the euro's strength against the dollar. ECB President Christine Lagarde is likely to affirm that policy is in a 'good place' with no imminent changes. While inflation is currently at 1.7%, the ECB remains focused on maintaining stability, with domestic consumption offsetting external weaknesses. Future monetary policy will depend on the balance between external and internal economic conditions, with potential interest rate hikes anticipated in 2027 if domestic resilience prevails.

Pro Ultrshort Euro(EUO.US)

"Foreign Exchange" focuses on U.S. data as the dollar retreats from a two-week high

EUR/USD Rebounds As Risk-On Mood Saps Dollar, Eyes Weekly Consolidation

The US Dollar Index rose more than 0.6% this week

ANALYSIS-ECB's safety net is part of EU plan to court new allies

ECB's Kocher sees dollar weakness rather than euro strength