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Ten Economic Questions for 2026

The article presents ten key economic questions for 2026, covering topics like economic growth, employment, unemployment rate, participation rate, inflation, monetary policy, wage growth, residential investment, house prices, and housing inventory. It aims to provide a framework for understanding the U.S. economy's potential performance in 2026, considering possible surprises and adjustments.

Calculated Risk·
Calculated Risk·

Next week's heavy schedule: Global markets enter "Christmas mode"

On Christmas Day, stock markets in the US, Europe, Hong Kong, and other regions will be closed. On the macro front, US GDP and other data will be released, the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair will continue to advance, while the domestic market will announce the LPR and industrial enterprise profits. Japan will release the Tokyo CPI, and the Governor of the Bank of Japan will give a public speech. In terms of industry, Huawei will hold a launch event for the nova15 series and all-scenario new products, and a brain-computer interface exhibition will also take place that week

Wallstreetcn·
Wallstreetcn·

US‑bound rare‑earth magnet exports from China fall 11% month‑on‑month

US-directed rare-earth magnet shipments from China dropped in November, slipping 11% from October, according to customs data released on Saturday. source:

CoinLive·
CoinLive·

November CPI report to be critical for Fed policy as markets only predict 24% chance of a 4th Fed rate cut. Economists expect headline CPI to rise from 3.0% to 3.1% year over year.

The November CPI report is crucial for Federal Reserve policy, with markets predicting only a 24% chance of a fourth rate cut. Economists expect headline CPI to rise from 3.0% to 3.1% year-over-year. The report's significance is heightened by recent government shutdown impacts on data releases, influencing Fed decisions.

Unusual Whales·
Unusual Whales·

US Existing Home Sales Rise, Yet Miss Forecasts

U.S. existing home sales rose slightly to 4.13 million annualized, missing the forecast of 4.20 million. This indicates softer-than-expected housing demand, easing pressure on home prices and inflation. The data may support rate-sensitive sectors like growth stocks and REITs, but homebuilder stocks might underperform due to the fragile resale market.

Tip Ranks·
Tip Ranks·
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