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Markets face a pivotal week driven by three major catalysts: SpaceX's potential $2 trillion debut, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations. Inflation remains sticky at 4.2% year-over-year in May, complicating rate cut prospects. Meanwhile, a potential deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could lower oil prices and boost market sentiment.

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GraniteShares 2x Long SpaceX Daily ETF

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Markets brace for pivotal week with SpaceX, Fed, Iran talks

SpaceX officially listed on Nasdaq on June 12, 2026, with an IPO price of $135 per share, raising $75 billion and achieving a valuation of $1.77 trillion, marking the largest IPO in history. Its market cap briefly surpassed $2 trillion, making Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire. The valuation relies on a 'sum-of-the-parts' approach covering Starlink, space launch, and AI businesses, with analysts projecting massive growth by 2040 to justify current high multiples.

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Investing in God: SpaceX's Valuation

RKLB

ASTS

SpaceX made its Nasdaq debut with the largest IPO in history, jumping 19% to a $2.1 trillion valuation. Meanwhile, Oregon investor Jacob Keeton realized over $3 million in gains from an early Rocket Lab position. However, experts caution that SpaceX's massive entry may temporarily siphon investment capital away from smaller space industry stocks.

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Oregon investor’s $3M Rocket Lab bet stands out amid SpaceX IPO frenzy

SpaceX stock surged 19% on its first day of public trading, pushing its valuation past $2 trillion. Analysts hold mixed views; while Goldman Sachs predicts revenue could grow 100-fold by 2030, concerns exist about the potential reversal of this initial jump.

SpaceX stock jumped after IPO: Here's why it may reverse soon

TSLA

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives predicts an 80% probability that Tesla and SpaceX will merge within the next year, aligning with Elon Musk's AI and data strategy. This speculation intensified following SpaceX's $1.77 trillion IPO debut. A combined entity could potentially exceed Amazon and Microsoft in market capitalization, becoming one of the world's largest companies.

- Analyst Dan Ives from Wedbush estimates an 80% likelihood of a Tesla and SpaceX merger within a year, connecting this to Musk's AI and data strategy.  
- The recent $1.77 trillion IPO for SpaceX has heightened investor interest and discussions about consolidating Musk’s companies.  
- A merger between Tesla and SpaceX could result in a combined market value exceeding $3 trillion, positioning it among the world's largest firms, surpassing Amazon and Microsoft.

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Amazon

Microsoft

Dan Ives sees 80% chance of Tesla–SpaceX merger within year

SpaceX's historic IPO raised $75 billion at a $1.8 trillion valuation, marking the largest in history. CEO Gwynne Shotwell urged investors to adopt a long-term perspective, measuring success in decades rather than quarters and warning against short-term pressure. Starlink remains the company's only profitable segment, serving as the anchor for its long-term investment strategy.

Shotwell urges long-term view after record SpaceX IPO

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NVDU

SpaceX's IPO debut achieved a $2.1 trillion valuation, marking the largest in history. Analysts hold divergent views: Jim Cramer targets $6 trillion soon, while Ron Baron forecasts $14 trillion within a decade, driven by orbital AI expansion. However, skeptics warn of risks associated with high sales multiples and the necessity for flawless execution in AI and Starlink growth to sustain such valuations.

- SpaceX’s first day of public trading resulted in a $2.1 trillion valuation, marking the largest IPO in history.  
- Projections suggest future valuations may reach $6 trillion soon and $14 trillion in a decade due to orbital AI expansion.  
- However, skeptics warn of high sales multiples and emphasize the importance of flawless execution for AI and Starlink growth.

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Analysts see SpaceX potentially surpassing Nvidia’s $4.9T value

NDAQ

SpaceX's Nasdaq debut proceeded smoothly, setting a template for future mega IPOs like OpenAI and Anthropic. The record-setting offering, nearly three times larger than previous U.S. records, saw trading systems withstand heavy retail order volumes without technical issues, contrasting with Facebook's 2012 debut. Morgan Stanley and Citadel Securities played key roles in managing the process, which Nasdaq CEO described as flawless.

Nasdaq

SpaceX’s Nasdaq Debut Proceeds Smoothly, Setting Template for Future Mega IPOs

.DJI

President Trump has announced that an Iran deal will be signed on Sunday. The stock market has yet to confirm this development. The focus now shifts to SpaceX, with the next test in the pipeline. Dow Jones Futures indicate investor anticipation following Trump's statement regarding the pending agreement with Iran. SpaceX is poised for its upcoming test, capturing attention as the next milestone looms.

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Dow Jones Futures: Trump Says Iran Deal 'Signed' Sunday; SpaceX's Next Test

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SpaceX lists on NASDAQ today (June 12) under ticker SPCX at USD 135 IPO price, valuing the company at USD 1.75T and raising USD 75B, the largest IPO in history, roughly 3x Alibaba's. Total demand topped USD 250B with retail alone over USD 100B, oversubscribed 3.5x. But 2025 revenue was USD 18.67B with a USD 4.94B net loss, leaving the valuation leaning on Starlink + Starship + xAI narratives. Does it pop or retrace at open?

SpaceX lists on NASDAQ today (June 12) under ticker SPCX at USD 135 IPO price, valuing the company at USD 1.75T and raising USD 75B, the largest IPO in history, roughly 3x Alibaba's. Total demand topped USD 250B with retail alone over USD 100B, oversubscribed 3.5x. But 2025 revenue was USD 18.67B with a USD 4.94B net loss, leaving the valuation leaning on Starlink + Starship + xAI narratives. Does it pop or retrace at open?

Largest IPO in History: SpaceX Rings the Bell!

SpaceX lists today on Nasdaq under SPCX at $135/share, selling 555.6 million shares to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation — the largest IPO in history. Think of it as buying into rockets, satellites, AI, and Elon Musk in one stock.GOOD1. MonopolySpaceX conducts more rocket launches annually than the rest of the world combined, with over 9 million Starlink subscribers. Nobody is close. That’s a real moat.2. Forced buying catalyst incomingFifteen days post-listing, SpaceX enters the Nasdaq-100, triggering an estimated $22–27 billion in forced mechanical buying from every QQQ index fund globally. That’s a built-in price catalyst within weeks.3. Massive retail access — rareSpaceX allocated up to 30% of IPO shares directly to retail investors — triple the industry norm. That signals confidence and broad demand.4. Bull case is enormousARK Invest projects SpaceX could reach $2.5 trillion enterprise value by 2030, with Starlink alone potentially generating $300 billion in annual revenue once the constellation is complete around 2035.BAD1. Valuation is dangerously stretchedThe valuation sits at 96 times trailing revenue, leaving minimal margin for error. Everything has to go right — for years. One bad quarter will hurt badly.2. Morningstar says it’s worth half the priceMorningstar pegs fair value near $780 billion — less than half the IPO valuation — noting only Starlink is currently profitable, while xAI is projected to burn $10 billion in 2026. ￼3. Musk controls everything — you don’tSpaceX’s dual-class structure gives insiders Class B shares with 10 votes each, leaving Musk with around 80% voting power despite owning ~43% of equity. Public buyers get economic exposure but effectively zero governance influence. ￼4. Net losses are realRevenue grew 33% to $18.7 billion in 2025 — but the net loss reached $4.9 billion. You’re paying $1.75 trillion for a loss-making company. That’s a bet on the future, not the present.

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Invesco QQQ Trust

Morningstar

GraniteShares 2x Short SpaceX Daily ETF(SNK.US)

Markets brace for pivotal week with SpaceX, Fed, Iran talks

Investing in God: SpaceX's Valuation

Oregon investor’s $3M Rocket Lab bet stands out amid SpaceX IPO frenzy

SpaceX stock jumped after IPO: Here's why it may reverse soon

Dan Ives sees 80% chance of Tesla–SpaceX merger within year