Steve_Z
2025.03.18 06:43

Apple: In depth analysis of market sentiment and technical signals

portai
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$Apple(AAPL.US) In the past few days, the Nasdaq 100 index has finally stopped falling and stabilized. From a technical perspective, a relatively strong support level has formed around 19800 points. However, whether this is an oversold rebound or the beginning of a new round of gains, we still need to wait and see this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the Trump administration's tariff policy. At present, market sentiment remains cautious, but at least this position has given us some confidence.
For Apple, the stabilization of the market is a positive signal. After all, as the leader of technology stocks, Apple's trend is highly correlated with the Nasdaq. If the Nasdaq can stabilize, Apple is also expected to regain upward momentum after a pullback.

Recently, the main pressure faced by Apple comes from the decline in iPhone revenue. Although the iPhone remains Apple's core business, intensified market competition and extended consumer replacement cycles have indeed had an impact on sales. However, I don't think this means that Apple has lost its growth potential.
Firstly, Apple's service businesses such as App Store, Apple Music, iCloud, etc. are becoming new growth engines. Secondly, the market is full of expectations for Apple's first foldable phone. Although this product is expected to be released only in 2026, it has the potential to become Apple's next hit and reignite market enthusiasm.
In the long run, Apple's innovation capabilities and the protective moat of its ecosystem remain strong. Short term revenue pressure cannot conceal its long-term value.

Finally, I would like to summarize in one sentence: "Pessimists are right, optimists make money." When others are afraid, we may as well be more calm and patient.

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