$BYD COMPANY(01211.HK)

Is the world’s top EV maker charging up for a rally or stalling out? I am bullish on BYD Company Ltd (1211.HK) 🚀

The 4H chart and fundamentals flash bullish signals. Here is the breakdown:

🔹 Technical Snapshot

I am using Kalman Trend Levels Indicator by BigBeluge to filter the price data using dual time frame analysis. This indicator filters out market noise to reveal true price action.

❤️ Kalman Trend Shift: Price just broke above the green Kalman cloud (HKD100.0–HKD101.2). This is a major bullish signal, suggesting the long-term downtrend from HKD140.0 has finally neutralized.

❤️ Support & Resistance: Strong floor at HKD90.0 (blue ‘D’ and ‘S’ icons). Upside resistance at HKD125.0 remains the “boss level” BYD must clear to confirm a new bull market.

❤️ RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 56.91. Healthy buying interest without being “overbought” (>70). Plenty of runway left before hitting a ceiling.

❤️ Momentum: Green arrows show successful “buy” signals as price bounced off HKD101.2 support.

🔹 Fundamentals (The Global Pivot)

BYD’s latest results (March 27, 2026) highlight a company in transition:

❤️ Revenue vs. Profit Trap: 2025 revenue hit HKD800B, but net profit dropped ~19% due to China’s brutal price war squeezing margins.

❤️ Export Engine: Raised 2026 export target to 1.5M vehicles (from 1.3M). Overseas sales now ~40% of revenue. International margins are far stronger than domestic.

❤️ Innovation Moat: Blade Battery 2.0 + “Flash Charging” (10%→70% in 5 minutes). Tech leadership keeps BYD ahead of Tesla in NEV volume.

❤️ Dividend Note: Payout ratio cut to 10% to fund global factory expansion (Brazil, Hungary, SE Asia). Great for growth but less immediate passive income.

My Verdict

🟢 ACCUMULATE / BUY ON DIPS

👉 The 2025 profit dip looks priced in. You are buying a global leader at valuations reflecting domestic fears while ignoring massive international expansion.