Fattycat

$SpaceX(SPCX.US)

🤖 Is SpaceX’s AI Being Valued At Zero?

That’s the big question facing SPCX as it keeps sliding post‑IPO.

⏰ The $100 Inflection Point:

The idea that hitting $100 means SpaceX’s AI business is worth zero comes directly from top Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas.

At that price level, the market would effectively value all AI projects including Grok and the Cursor acquisition at absolutely nothing.

⏰ Why The Doubt?

Investors worry about the massive capital needed for AI infrastructure, especially compared to the proven cash flow from its Space & Starlink operations.

⏰Where It Stands Now:

After peaking at $225.64, shares have fallen sharply to ~$110.85 (well below the $135 IPO price) .

⏰ More Supply Coming:

Coming 6 August brings the first major lock‑up expiry, releasing up to 911.5 million shares. It is effectively doubling current free float and adding more pressure.

Even so, Morgan Stanley stays bullish with a $300 price target, calling current levels an attractive entry point.

They point to recent wins like the 13th Starship test flight and next year’s NASA moon mission as proof execution stays firmly on track.

Is the market overreacting or has the AI hype run too far ahead? 🛰️🤔

$TRIP.COM-S(09961.HK)

Just wanted to share why I am still bullish and positive on my Trip.com shares even after that big fine.

Honestly, I see the penalty as good news in a way. This is because the uncertainty is finally over. The company accepted it and they can move on now.

The business is strong:

· Revenue grew 17% last quarter

· International bookings are booming (+40–50%)

· Top analysts still say ‘Buy’

· The stock is cheap – only 6.4 times earnings

Yes, the fine is large but Trip.com has plenty of cash to cover it.

Travel is bouncing back and this company is a winner. I’m holding tight☺️

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

🏆 [Weekly] Bitcoin Update: Holding Steady Before FOMC

Bitcoin is trading around $64,343, taking a breather after pulling back from $67,000. Markets are staying cautious ahead of the Fed meeting, balancing strong ETF inflows against policy uncertainty.

🔷 Technical Snapshots

🟢 4-Hour View

Trapped between $63,503 support and $65,669 resistance, just below the midpoint at $64,586. RSI at 43.73 — momentum cooled, but not oversold.

🟢 Daily View

Firmly holding above the middle Bollinger Band at $64,254, resistance now acts as support. Next target up: $67,246. Strong floor below: $62,146. Daily RSI 50.73 — balanced and stable.

💼 What’s Moving It

✅ Fed Watch: Rates likely on hold, but hawkish comments could spark swings.

✅ Big Money Flows: US spot ETFs keep seeing net inflows, backing $63,500–$64,000 as solid support.

✅ My Take

Outlook stays cautiously bullish above $64,254. Break past $65,669 → eye $67,200. Drop below $63,500 → watch for a test of $62,146.

Not financial advice. Do your own DD.☺️

$TRIP.COM-S(09961.HK)

🚨 Trip.com’s Record Penalty: What You Need To Know

The wait is over! Trip.com was hit with a ¥5.18 billion total penalty. The harshest antitrust fine in SAMR history at 7.5% of revenue, nearly double Alibaba’s and 2.5x Meituan’s.

It includes a base fine plus ¥1.66B clawback of illegal gains, and new rules. No exclusivity deals, algorithm overhauls and 3 years of strict compliance reporting.

The good news? Uncertainty is gone.

Based on Trip.com’s strong balance sheet, it can easily absorb this cost. ☺️

$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)$Intel(INTC.US)

Big Tech Pullback: What Changed and What Didn’t?

Over a week :

* 🔻 Tesla: -18.92%

* 🔻 Alphabet: -7.10%

* 🔻 Intel: -5.41%

The market reacted sharply to earnings, rising AI investment, higher capital expenditure and a more cautious investor sentiment. The underlying stories for each tech stocks are different for each company.

📌 Tesla faces greater execution risks as it ramps up AI and robotics spending.

📌 Intel continues its turnaround, with improving fundamentals despite the sell-off.

📌 Alphabet’s core business remains strong, although investors are concerned about the scale of its AI infrastructure investment.

Is this the start of a longer downturn or simply a valuation reset after high expectations?

The infographic summarised the key reasons behind the share price movements, whether fundamentals have changed and what it could mean for long-term investors.

👉 Refer to the infographic for a detailed breakdown and comparison.

$Gold.com(GOLD.US)

🏆[Weekly] XAU/USD Gold Update: Can It Hold $4,000 Before The Fed?

Gold is stuck in a tight range right now, fighting to hold key support after months of falling.

Here is your simple breakdown for the week ahead:

🔷 Technical Snapshots

🟢 Short-term (1-Hourly chart):

Price = $4,052.85, right around its middle band at $4,051.23

📈 Resistance: $4,081.75

📉 Support: $4,020.70

RSI = 50.40 → perfectly balanced, no clear edge yet

🟢BigPicture (Daily chart):

The broader downtrend is still in place. Gold remains below its 20-day moving average at $4,068.71 (acting as resistance).

✅ Key support held:

The lower Bollinger Band at $3,956.54 stopped the recent drop, critical floor.

Daily RSI = 42.89 → slightly weak and not oversold.

💼 What Moves Gold This Week

⏰⏰Biggest test:

Fed Rate Decision, Wednesday 29 July

Expectations for higher rates and a strong USD are still weighing on gold, which pays no interest.

More volatility coming Thursday 30 July:

US Q2 GDP and June PCE inflation data will drive sharp moves.

🔷The Verdicts

• Strong support zone: $3,950 – $4,000

• If Fed sounds hawkish → gold may test this floor again or lower

• If Fed sounds dovish → could rally toward $4,180

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Keep tight risk controls ahead of Wednesday’s news!

$CSE Global(544.SG)

What CSE Global’s SEI Deal Means For You?

For all investors following CSE: the group has just bought US-based SEI Wireless Solutions for US$8 million.

This move will grow their presence in the US and expand their communications business in critical infrastructure.

📡 Why This Matters

SEI specialises in mission-critical communications:

✅ Two-way radio systems

✅ Wireless infrastructure

✅ Integrated safety and security tech

It serves stadiums, big businesses and public safety projects. It fits perfectly with CSE’s existing radio and critical communications work.

📋 Quick Facts

✅ Done deal: Completed 21 July 2026

✅ Funding: Fully paid via bank loans

✅ Ownership: SEI is now CSE’s 100% subsidiary

✅ Payment: 80% paid upfront; balance follows standard adjustments

Great step forward for Singapore home gown company, CSE’s US expansion 💪🏽👍

Keep it up with cheers 🇸🇬

$SPDR Gold Minishares(GLDM.US)

Anyone else a gold fan? Not Bitcoin 🤣

Gold dropped over 2% yesterday, pulling back from a two-week high. The Middle East conflict pushed energy prices up, stoking inflation fears and making markets expect more U.S. rate hikes this year.

I am taking the chance to add more for my long-term portfolio plus diversification. How about you 🤔?

$Tesla(TSLA.US)

Why Tesla Slid Post-Market Despite Record Revenue ?🤔

Tesla’s Q2 2026 results tell a clear story. Top-line growth hit with new highs but profits and cash flow disappointed, sending the stock down ~4% in extended trading.

Vehicle deliveries topped 480,000 units, pushing revenue up 26% YoY to $28.24 billion. However, the Wall Street focusing entirely on the weaker earnings and heavy spending.

📉 What Triggered The Drop?

1️⃣ Big EPS Miss: Adjusted EPS came in at $0.33, well below the $0.49–$0.53 markets were expecting

2️⃣ Margins Collapsed: Operating margin fell sharply to just 1.4%, as operating expenses jumped 47% to $4.35 billion

3️⃣ Cash Flow Turned Negative: Free cash flow swung to -$1.09 billion, with capital expenditure more than doubling to $5.79 billion

4️⃣ Big Spending Ahead: Full-year capex is set to exceed $25 billion to fund AI computing, robotaxis and Optimus robots now.

In short :

Tesla is sacrificing short‑term car profits to build its AI future. As long as these heavy investments have not turned into high‑margin software income, margin pressure will keep weighing on the stock.

$TRIP.COM-S(09961.HK)

Today I bought Trip.com after reviewing its financials data and valuation ratio. I believe it is the right time to invest fundamentally sound company.

Right now, the stock is weighed down by China’s ongoing SAMR antitrust investigation which is expected to wrap up and be announced any day now.

It’s fundamentals stay rock-solid:💪🏽

✅ Fortress balance sheet: Net cash of HK$49.7 billion. Enough to pay off all debt completely, with plenty left over

✅ Interest coverage ~34x: No risk of trouble servicing debt anytime soon

✅ Low P/E and P/B: This comes from regulatory uncertainty and not weak business. Trip.com still runs strongly with high margins and ample liquidity.

Once the result is out, the biggest unknown will be gone and that is when the real value can shine through.

$TRIP.COM-S(09961.HK)

Will Trip.com Surge Once The Probe Ends 🤔?

Trip.com shares have taken a hit lately, weighed down by China’s ongoing SAMR antitrust investigation.

But history shows: even hefty fines often spark big rebounds once uncertainty clears. Here is what we learned from Alibaba and Meituan’s 2021 cases:

💡 3 Key Lessons From The Past

✅ Uncertainty hurts more than bad news

Stocks get punished hardest while probes are open. When Alibaba and Meituan were fined, both jumped 5–10% on day one and 10–20% within weeks. Putting a number on the penalty removes the “worst-case” fear.

✅ Immediate relief rally is likely

Short sellers will cover positions, and waiting institutional money will jump in and drive an initial jump once the decision is official.

✅ Long-term growth depends on rules and not fines

A fine is just a one off cost. What really matters: will regulators limit its core business (like capping hotel commissions or changing algorithms)?

📊 Full side-by-side comparison in the infographic above!

Put simply: The Chinese government doesn’t want Trip.com to crash and bankrupt. Chinese government needs trip.com to promote China. What do you think? Let’s discuss😁.

Not financial advice. Please do your own DD☺️

$Intel(INTC.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)

The Bull 🐂 , The Bear 🐻 , The Winner 🏆 & The Loser – TSLA / GOOGL / INTC

📍 Biggest Winner: GOOGL

Google stands out for one simple reason: its P/E ratio finally makes sense to me. While other AI plays trade at sky-high premiums, GOOGL’s forward P/E stays very reasonable 26.59.

Furthermore, I see rising Cloud margins and AI boosting Search ad revenues as a high growth cash cow.

In my view , the market is just starting to catch on to this AI leader trading at a discount. Hence, I see more upside than downside.

🎲 Biggest Loser: TSLA

Tesla looks set to lag because its P/E is 372 and P/B ratio at 17x . The current share price is priced for total perfection and totally over stretched. No room for any mishaps.

With this massive premium to traditional automakers and its EV competitors, I see more downside than upside.

Traders will give an excuse to dump the shares with any dissatisfaction with its financial results. For example, a small sign of falling margins could send its P/E sliding sharply lower.

For further information, BYD has PE ratio of 26 times and P/B ratio at 3.12 times .

Therefore, Tesla needs flawless progress on robotaxis and news of new technology breakthrough for its new EV models just to support its stretched valuation.

🔷 INTC ( Neutral- not interesting😆 at all )

Intel is currently trading at P/B 4.63x, share price $102.79.

It has a deep-value turnaround story but it lacks the near-term catalysts to outperform the other two this earnings season. Hence, I do not see any material movement in its share price.

Cross my fingers and pray for my predictions 😆.

$SpaceX(SPCX.US)

🚀 This Thursday is huge day for SpaceX 🚀

Either Make or break for SpaceX

This launch is all or nothing for its stock.

Right now, the market is extremely downbeat:

📉 Trading below IPO price

📉 47% off its peak

👉 Success = way bigger upside than a regular launch

👉 Failure = deeper doubts about execution — especially since the stock is still priced far above its actual revenue

Expect big swings either way. Mood is fragile, bets on a drop are high, so every move will be amplified.

Are you ready for it 🤔?