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2026.05.08 04:15

โ˜•๏ธ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk

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Midday update: US-Iran tensions resurged overnight โ€” Nasdaq โˆ’1.5%, defense bid, oil whipsawed, gold tick-up. Nvidia went on an infrastructure spree: a 5GW AI build with IREN plus funding a Corning factory expansion. CoreWeave locked a monstrous US$21bn Meta contract plus a multi-year Anthropic deal. Cloudflare dumped โˆ’12% afterhours on 20% layoffs and a soft revenue guide; Coinbase posted a second straight quarterly loss. Locally, OCBC reports Q1 today and April US NFP lands tonight.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Today's 3 Big Questions

  1. NVDA-IREN 5GW + NVDA-Corning equity-linked funding + CoreWeave's US$21bn Meta deal + Anthropic multi-year โ€” AI capex is now built into multi-year contracts and equity stakes, not just guidance. Peak-AI-capex confidence at the top, or under-priced reality with another leg up? Pick a side and a name.
  2. Same week we got Snap โˆ’9%, Cloudflare โˆ’12%, Coinbase second loss. Three different "demand pressure / cost cuts" stories from smaller-cap tech in 7 days. Is this the first warning that the AI rotation is leaving the rest of tech behind (rotation pain), or just idiosyncratic stories โ€” and how does it shape your tech allocation into Q2?
  3. US-Iran resurgent + Nasdaq โˆ’1.5% + April NFP tonight + OCBC Q1 today. A 24-hour macro wormhole. Are you preposition LONG SG banks (NIM defended longer if Goolsbee's hawkish framing wins), LONG long-duration tech (if NFP misses), or hedged with optionality both directions? Tell us your line in the sand.

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โฐ Deadline: May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM (SGT)

๐Ÿ“Š Quick Market Recap

๐ŸŒ Global Macro & Markets

  • US-Iran tensions resurged: Nasdaq โˆ’1.5%; defense bid; oil whipsawed (spike then fade); gold tick-up; Treasury yields modestly higher.
  • Goolsbee's "AI capex without productivity = rate hikes" framing from yesterday continues to color rate expectations into NFP.
  • April US Non-Farm Payrolls tonight (SGT evening) โ€” final macro anchor of the week.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Markets: AI Infrastructure Goes Multi-Year, Smaller Tech Cracks

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Nasdaq โˆ’1.5%; energy/defense diverged on Iran headlines.
  • Nvidia + IREN โ€” long-term partnership to deploy 5GW of AI infrastructure; Nvidia separately funding Corning factory to strengthen optical supply chain (with up to 18M Corning warrants confirmed earlier this week).
  • CoreWeave โ€” Q1 win sheet: US$21bn new contract with Meta, plus multi-year Anthropic agreement. AI compute commercialisation is firmly in execution phase.
  • Cloudflare โ€” Announced 20% layoffs; revenue guidance disappointed; stock โˆ’12% afterhours. Enterprise IT-spend tightness narrative reignites.
  • Coinbase โ€” Second straight quarterly loss as crypto trading momentum stays soft; "everything exchange" pivot in focus; stock under pressure.
  • Watch tonight: RKLB and AAOI post-earnings reactions; AAOI especially as an AI-optical proxy alongside Lumentum / Coherent.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore Markets

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ STI hovering near 5,000; OCBC Research target 5,250.
  • OCBC Q1 today โ€” bar lifted after UOB's softer print (โˆ’4% YoY, no special). Key watchpoints: NIM trajectory (FY25 โˆ’29bps to 1.91%), non-int income (+16% to S$5.5bn), Indonesia / ASEAN lending, capital-return commentary.
  • PM Lawrence Wong at 48th ASEAN Summit (Cebu) โ€” supply chain, energy, food security, green transition on the agenda; Acting PM Gan Kim Yong covers May 8โ€“9.
  • Companies Act 2026 Phase 1 effective May 6 โ€” strengthened shareholder protection, tighter board accountability.
  • Mapletree REIT season: MIT full-year DPU โˆ’6.3% to 12.71 cents; MLT 3Q DPU โˆ’9.3% to 1.816 cents; MPACT DPU +2.5% to 2.05 cents (Singapore-led).
  • SIA โ€” Confirmed SpaceX Starlink for next-gen in-flight WiFi (rollout Q1 2027 โ†’ end-2029, ~53 aircraft); A350-900LH first/business-class retrofit also delayed to Q1 2027.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Hong Kong & China Markets

  • HK financials watching for follow-through after HSBC's โˆ’5% drag earlier in the week.
  • Tencent / Alibaba โ€” DeepSeek (>US$20bn) talks ongoing; Baidu's recent +11.4% rip remains in the rear-view.

๐Ÿ“… Key Events Tonight / This Week

  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ RKLB / AAOI earnings reactions โ€” Tonight
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ April Non-Farm Payrolls โ€” Tonight (SGT evening)
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ HDB BTO HFE letter deadline โ€” May 15
  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EU auto/truck 25% tariffs effective โ€” Next week
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ DBS dividend (66c interim + 15c capital return) payable โ€” ~May 20

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