《US Stock Market Special Interpretation》

1. First, let's talk about Tesla $Tesla(TSLA.US)

Back on July 19, the CD indicator signaled a sell, and after we exited, we finally got a bottom-fishing signal on August 6:

(The sell and bottom-fishing signals in the chart above are from the CD indicator.)

From here, the rule is simple: don't sell unless the candlestick breaks below the lower edge of the blue ladder.

Also, for those who think technical traders are idiots, feel free to block them by clicking on their profile pictures. I often encounter some clueless folks during my analyses, so I’m saying this upfront to save you time. In my August 5 analysis video, I clearly called for a market rebound in the title. That one simple "rebound" took me two weeks to confirm. Market first, then stocks. This is something everyone needs to learn.

Now, about AST SpaceMobile $AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) : After the weekly CD indicator signaled a bottom, it’s already up 18x. While I think it could go higher, it’s not easy to exit now. If you want in, switch to the 1-hour chart and follow the blue ladder.

For Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) , my only criterion in the past two weeks’ analysis videos has been: hold as long as the 5-minute blue ladder stays above the yellow ladder:

In last night’s video, I pointed at Nvidia, down 0.48%, and shouted, "It’s still going up!"

Apple $Apple(AAPL.US) : After the CD indicator signaled a bottom on April 24, just hold as long as the blue ladder stays above the yellow one:

Here’s another lesson: Don’t trade based on news!!! All the noise about Buffett trimming his position? Pure clickbait from clueless content creators. If you’ve studied Buffett’s past sales, has any of them ever mattered the next week or month? Never. He plays the long game.

For individual opportunities, keep an eye on Destiny Tech100 $Destiny Tech100(DXYZ.US) DXYZ, Rocket Lab USA $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US) , Microstrategy $Strategy(MSTR.US) , Trump Media & Tech $Trump Media & Tech(DJT.US) , and Li Auto.

Today, besides technical analysis, I’ll also talk about "Why Most People Lose Money in Stocks". It boils down to two mistakes:

1. Wrong mindset

Stocks have momentum—they can keep rising endlessly. Yet many would rather trade Nio than buy Nvidia. I’ve said it before: "If you’ve never owned a single share of Nvidia, you probably won’t make money in U.S. stocks." Remember, the strong get stronger.

2. No trading system

The worst thing in trading is acting on impulse. Say it’s Friday, your boss didn’t make you work overtime, and a stock drops 5%—so you buy. Then you’re stuck with a 30% loss.

A good trading system must meet these criteria:

1. Simple and quantifiable (SMART-compliant). If conditions 1, 2, and 3 are met, I act. I don’t trade based on what I see today—I plan ahead. Like in our April 25 analysis, we predicted Nvidia’s stock split and positioned early. For example, if the CD indicator signaled a sell at 350 and a buy at 89, I’d wait for the sell signal to go short.

2. No emotional swings—no euphoria, no despair (position management: options ≤15%, weekly options ≤3%).

3. Must have a strategy (e.g., 4321 method, collective behavior approach).

4. Log every trade and review it. What was the buy thesis? Did the CD indicator signal a bottom? Which level of blue ladder appeared?

5. Document your 10 biggest losses and 10 biggest wins—analyze and reflect.