Trump leads in election betting markets! DJT surged 17% overnight, options soared 300%.

In a BBC poll, Trump's winning rate was lower than Harris's, at 46% and 48% respectively, though the gap has narrowed (data as of October 10):

However, in the betting market, Trump is far ahead by 13.5% (data as of October 11):

It is worth mentioning that Musk also reposted related information a few days ago, stating that the betting market is more accurate than polls because real money is at play (Note: Musk's stance is to support Trump).

Trump's concept stock (DJT) has continued to rebound recently, surging 46% this week and jumping 17% overnight.

Option trading volume surged to over 400,000 contracts yesterday, with several options expiring on October 11 soaring more than 300%.

Option Terminology Explanation

Implied Volatility:

Represents market investors' expectations for future stock price volatility, which is actually an unknown quantity.
Using a certain option pricing model, factors such as stock price, option premium, interest rate, and expiration time are substituted into the pricing formula to derive the implied volatility.
To some extent, it reflects the valuation level of options. Under other unchanged conditions:
When implied volatility is relatively high, option prices are more expensive (for assets with little price fluctuation, 30% may be considered high volatility);
When implied volatility is relatively low, option prices are cheaper (for assets with violent price fluctuations, 80% may still be low volatility).

Put/Call:

The ratio of Put option trading volume to Call option trading volume. The smaller the ratio, the greater the bullish sentiment.

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