
$Strategy(MSTR.US)$Coinbase(COIN.US)The quality of posts on October 12th continues to improve~ When posted, Bitcoin was at $63k, and now it's almost at $69k~
$Strategy(MSTR.US) $Coinbase(COIN.US) Today's content exceeds the word limit. Full text reference: https://longportapp.cn/zh-CN/topics/24441573.
Today is October 12th, and the #Bitcoin market has entered a critical phase. Let's analyze it.
First of all, today's analysis is extremely valuable—every word is worth its weight in gold. Don't regret missing it! Bitcoin's market has entered a crucial stage, and today we'll discuss its trend during this phase. The analysis is packed with insights. If you like it, don't forget to share, like, and comment—give everyone a "chance to benefit together." If you don't like it, no worries—you're always welcome to come back and check it out later!
Looking back to mid-March this year, after I accurately identified 73.7k as the 阶段性顶部 (stage top), Bitcoin seemed to have taken a "sedative,"横盘震荡 (sideways 震荡) for half a year. This half-year period was practically a classic "triple three-wave"横盘调整 (sideways adjustment). Think this is the market's "calm period"? Actually, it's quietly 积蓄力量 (accumulating strength), ready to surge at any moment! After reading the following analysis, you'll understand the trick behind this move.
Now, let's get to the point. The question all Bitcoin traders face now is: When will Bitcoin's adjustment end? When will the next bull market arrive?
Today, we boldly hypothesize—Bitcoin's sideways adjustment may already be over! We're in the early stages of a bull market 起点 (starting point)! Yes, that confident. Why? Here's the analysis—
Since the March peak of 73.7k, we believe Bitcoin has undergone a typical triple three-wave 横向调整 (lateral adjustment) (marked as wxyxz, with white 主浪线标注 in the chart). Based on the current trend, wave z likely concluded around 52.5k. Starting from 52.5k, a five-wave 上涨结构 (rising structure) has emerged, numbered 12345 (marked with purple lines in the chart), followed by a typical ABC 锯齿型调整 (zigzag adjustment) (marked with white lines in the chart). 58.9k is highly likely to be the end of this adjustment, and Bitcoin has a high probability of entering the next 上涨推动浪 (rising impulse wave). Starting to feel excited?
Of course, no one can 完全预测 (fully predict) how the market will ultimately move. But we can use the following "观测神器 (observation tools)" to determine whether the market has truly entered the 主升浪 (main rising wave):
Break through the green 虚线压力位 (dotted resistance line): Observe the green 虚线压力位 (dotted resistance line) of purple wave 5 and white wave B. If it's effectively 突破 (broken through), congratulations—the probability of a 主升浪 (main rising wave) skyrockets!
Observe the 突破 (breakthrough) of the white wave B 顶点 (peak): If the white wave B 顶点 (peak) is successfully 突破 (broken through), it basically confirms—the bull market has "departed" again. Don't get left behind!
In short, Bitcoin's adjustment may already be over. Now, it's just a matter of whether it will take us into a new bull market. Let's count our money with smiles in this bull market! 💰💸
The above is for technical analysis discussion only and should not be taken as 实盘交易参考 (live trading reference)!
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