US stock holdings and analysis on October 19th!

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October 19th US stock holdings and analysis!
It's time for the naive investor's weekly portfolio review (long and tedious). I was traveling in Southeast Asia last week, but now I'm back with the weekly long-form analysis.
1. Current holdings
UPST (subprime loans): Didn't execute the day trading well on Thursday, ended up increasing the cost basis and reducing the position by 10%. Fortunately, I corrected the mistake and bought back in time. However, Friday's performance still showed volatility. In theory, the perfect move would have been to sell at a 4% gain yesterday and buy back at the dip. It's still consolidating above the 5-day moving average—not sure if it's building momentum or what. (At least until the US cuts rates again or earnings are released, I must hold.) (Alternative: SOFI also has positive catalysts, with earnings on 10.29—another lending stock. This fintech company has growth opportunities by lowering rates to increase loans. SoFi is a stock with 20% growth targets, while Apple is expected to return to 5%-8% growth!)
LU (consumer loans): Kept trading in and out but got stuck yesterday. Chinese brokers and pure US stocks were strong yesterday. Locked in and waiting to break even. Cut losses on Thursday!
UAL (airlines): Hit a 52-week high and continued to climb yesterday, but short-term it's too far from the 5-day moving average. Didn't see a big rally yesterday; might consolidate and rise gradually. Missed the most comfortable uptrend phase without adding positions—now the volatility is annoying. (At least until the US cuts rates again, I'll hold.)
LUNR (Mars): This stock has a chance to break recent highs. Waiting to break even, then will take profits on the rise. Yesterday it surged and pulled back. (Can trade repeatedly.)
SERV (robotics): Said last week this could be traded repeatedly. Now in profit—waiting for a surge to cash out. (Can trade repeatedly.)
SOXL (3x leveraged semiconductor ETF): Didn't sell at a 10% gain on Thursday, and Friday was a fake rally—tough spot. (Can trade repeatedly.)
CWEB (2x leveraged internet ETF): Rose 8% yesterday, benefiting from the spillover effect of A-shares' rally. But I'm still down 40% overall—can't even look at it.
TSLA (Tesla itself): Whether it's TSLA or TSLL, I said don't touch it before earnings—it's a trap. The gap above is resistance, and it's been consolidating. As the old saying goes, "consolidation leads to..." (fill in the blank). Earnings surprises could spark a rally, but if earnings disappoint, it might drop further—no need to gamble!
MARA (mining): Added this week. Day trading on Thursday backfired, but Friday's position rose. Still can't compete with MSTR, let alone MSTU or MSTX—I'm green with envy. But they rise and fall together. Jumping around isn't wise unless you're bold enough to ditch MARA for MSTU. Otherwise, you'll lose MARA and miss cheap MSTU! (Can trade repeatedly.)

 

Now, with the East rising and the West falling, just look at US indices—opportunities are in Hong Kong and A-shares. I haven't done well there. If sticking to US stocks, here's the plan:
1. Play US stocks that mirror Hong Kong/A-share rallies (this strategy still works).
2. Focus on sectors benefiting from November rate cuts: finance, crypto, airlines, etc.
3. Use minimal pre-market capital for meme stocks or skip entirely (messed up again Friday—could've broken even but lost 5%).
4. Buy fewer or no options (might need to adjust—bull market calls print money).

Bull market calls are too profitable. The group chat is full of 2x, 3x, even 5x gains—I'm embarrassed just breaking even. Damn this bull market—why am I so scared of calls? (Like wolf, UPST, UAL—stocks I'm so bullish on. Would buying one call each this week kill me? Afraid of making money? Maybe after one win, the brain's reward system kicks in... Then the popcorn machine starts shaking!)


That's all.

Images are in Word version.

 

Also bought a lena—still fumbling with it.

 

$SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) 

$Tesla(TSLA.US) 

$Strategy(MSTR.US)

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