The US election has entered a fiercely contested stage, and investors seem to be placing their "smart money" on a Trump victory. On the blockchain betting platform Polymarket, over $2.2 billion has been wagered, with 64.3% betting on Trump's win.

Major investment banks' views on the US election:

1. Goldman Sachs: Trump's winning index has hit a record high, while Harris's index has returned to Biden's level;

2. UBS: The Republican vs. Democratic election hedge trades tracked by UBS have risen 15% this month, and the market has largely priced in expectations of a Trump victory;

3. JP Morgan: Hedge funds are aggressively buying Republican wins while selling Democratic wins (dumping renewable energy stocks). Over the past month, Republican win trades have outperformed Democratic win trades by about 7%;

4. Deutsche Bank: A Trump victory could lead to a stronger US dollar, and a Republican sweep (red wave) could bring greater market volatility;

In terms of options, based on open interest distribution, investors are betting on multiple call and put options expiring on November 15, 2024:

1. The call options with the highest total open interest have strike prices of $25 and $35, with open contracts exceeding 30,000 each;

2. The put options with the highest total open interest have strike prices of $7 and $12, with open contracts exceeding 40,000 each;

$Trump Media & Tech(DJT.US)