
PepsiCo Return RateSelf-summary of a 24-year-old trader

After calming down, let's seriously summarize this month's trades. In fact, NVIDIA just amplified these gains. You can see that my win rate for these five trades was 100%, so maybe it's not just luck. I believe that as long as an ordinary trader sticks to the principle of buying low and selling high, the stock market will eventually reward you.
1 & 2: Went long on Apple. Apple has been correcting for four consecutive weeks, and last week it clearly started consolidating around $220. On 1.24 and 1.25, it tried small breakouts with higher openings, but the market reaction wasn't great, so it's still building momentum. However, I believe the breakout signs are already evident, so I bought call options, which yielded a 100% return on my position by yesterday's close $Apple(AAPL.US) (Just a side note: many might be waiting for a big drop on 1.30 when earnings are released to enter. But think about it—everyone globally already knows Apple's earnings this quarter won't be great. If you know it, that means the negative expectations are already priced in. So... 1.30 won’t let you buy the dip; it’ll just rise and make you the bag holder.)
3: Went short on Bitcoin. I chose to short MSTR. Last Friday, MSTR already showed clear signs of distribution. This waterfall-like drop won’t release the trapped liquidity above in the short term, so I dared to enter even after last Friday’s big drop. I set up an $8,000 put at the end of the session. Plus, BTC’s fake breakouts have formed a clear short-term downtrend, with highs continuously dropping from 109k ➡️ 107k ➡️ 105k. As expected, Monday’s BTC crash fueled MSTR’s avalanche. I closed my short-term put at BTC’s 100k level after observing the 4-hour chart—the bottom showed no significant progress, clearly in a consolidation phase. Risk outweighed reward, so I took profits. $Strategy(MSTR.US)
4 & 5: My 1x short on TSMC and $4,000 NVDA put were essentially the same strategy—both NVDA and TSMC were at all-time highs. DS’s sudden appearance just amplified the gains. Think about it: even without DS’s news, wouldn’t NVDA and TSMC still distribute and correct? Recall the last two times—earnings were great, and on the day of NVDA’s keynote, both positive events led to waterfall drops, distributing to retail. It’s clear now that news is just a tool to facilitate distribution. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
Final thoughts: I think most spectators just assume others are gambling. In reality, I only used one-tenth of my position to buy low and sell high, buying options I firmly believed in at extremely safe levels. This high-risk, high-reward approach is probably the essence of options as a financial tool. At the end of my 24th year, I wish everyone I know and don’t know progress and happiness in 2025.


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