$Tesla(TSLA.US)$iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US)

Logic first, think long-term

It's extremely easy and seemingly reasonable to explain after the trend is confirmed

Just like when Trump won the election, the alliance between politics and business started a new bull market

Then tariffs were introduced, and the Mad King was about to trigger a global economic recession

Many short-term bearish arguments against Tesla are similar:

Criticizing policies causing political-business conflicts—this isn't the first time

Cathie Wood reducing holdings—a long-term contrarian indicator for bulls

The Trump-Musk alliance collapsing—calling for Musk to leave politics was precisely shareholders' previous demand

The greatest certainty in the stock market is short-term uncertainty

For hourly-level judgments, a genius's win rate is only 1-2 percentage points higher than a fool's

Simply put, short-term stock trading is infinitely close to rolling dice and guessing

When you guess wrong and others guess right, it's naturally frustrating

But if you over-reflect at this point, constantly asking why they guessed right and you guessed wrong, it's just a waste of time and energy

If you don't believe Trump would trigger a global economic recession, then he's even less likely to affect the future of human technology