PLTR Commentator
Rate Of ReturnAdding a note about the current plan:
I currently have no position in NVIDIA. Over the past year, I've been buying and selling, and I cleared my position at 120 last time. I regret it so much. I've deposited a bit more these days. If the earnings report causes a drop, I'll re-enter and hold for at least 5 years!
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
Long Term Thinking (Part 1)
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
Long-term Thinking on NVIDIA: Compared to Palantir, NVIDIA has a stronger consensus in its competitive landscape. People's doubts about NVIDIA are not about its product capabilities but more about the potential overcapacity in demand.
Assuming we ignore the impact of external factors such as monetary policy and geopolitics, let's simulate the thoughts of the following types of investors:
Investor A: AI demand is excessive, future revenue growth will significantly slow down, valuations will drop severely, and stock prices will face downward pressure (negative returns).
Investor B: AI demand remains stable or slightly excessive, future revenue growth remains stable or slightly declines, valuations slightly drop, but profits continue to grow, and stock prices rise slightly (around 10% annualized maybe 😂).
Investor C: AI demand remains hot, especially in physical AI, such as robot training and inference. Future revenue growth remains stable or increases, valuations remain stable or even rise, and stock prices surge, heading straight to $5 trillion.
Which one are you? I'm a C, and from a 5-year perspective, I estimate valuations will remain stable, profit margins will stay steady, and revenue will grow by over 50% annually, with stock prices rising 50% annually. I'm quite optimistic 😂.
Long-term thinkers, Long Time Thinking, 5 years will make a huge difference!
The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.
The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not reflect the stance of the platform. The content is intended for investment reference purposes only and shall not be considered as investment advice. Please contact us if you have any questions or suggestions regarding the content services provided by the platform.
