Post-market trading analysis of $280 million on December 5

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The grey market shows a single block trade of 7.14 million shares after hours on December 5. The total value of nearly $280 million changed hands, far exceeding the scale of ordinary retail investors.

 

 

 

According to feedback from X users—this is the second largest dark pool transaction in Hims' history, the last one occurred on February 12, 2025, when Hims' stock price soared from $46.34 to a high of $72.98 in a week. It remains to be seen whether history will repeat itself this time. The chart below shows the closing price on February 12, 2025.

 

A single block trade of 7.14 million shares is quite astonishing. Here are several possibilities:

  • Index rebalancing: If ETFs or index funds adjusted their holdings that day, they must buy or sell large amounts of stocks at the close to minimize tracking error.
  • Institutional position adjustment: Large hedge funds or mutual funds completed their position adjustments before the weekend (December 5 was a Friday).
  • Result of long-short battles: At the $39.20 price level, the market absorbed nearly $280 million in liquidity. This indicates strong buying and selling pressure coexisting at this level, with both sides reaching equilibrium at $39.20.

 

What's next?

Observe the trend and announcements in the next 1-3 trading days:

1. Whether there's a significant gap up/down at the next day's open and the first 30 minutes, accompanied by heavy volume.

2. Whether the company, major shareholders, or public funds subsequently disclose: shareholding changes / placements / secondary market reduction announcements, etc.

 

Only by combining these factors can we determine whether this $280 million transaction is: a bullish signal (new capital entering aggressively), a bearish/cash-out signal (major shareholders exiting), or just institutional turnover with limited impact on the trend.

 

The folks on X are still quite humorous

 

Who is Dudum? Hims' biggest short seller. Wishing us an early exit with profits. $Hims & Hers Health(HIMS.US) $Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HIMS ETF(HIMZ.US)

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