
Alphabet Return Rate
Rate Of ReturnFind targets with narrative divergence and wait patiently for a narrative reversal
My investment preference is to look for opportunities where narratives diverge (valuation is suppressed), and then wait for the narrative to reverse, bringing valuation back to normal or even a premium. This logic is inherently against consensus, so it also comes with risks. But the more the market diverges, the deeper my tracking analysis will go (like BMNR now). Once consensus is formed, I won't talk much about it anymore.
My previous analyses of PLTR and Googl were the same. Just like now, I rarely talk about Googl because consensus has already formed, and it feels unnecessary.
Since narrative reversal is a long-cycle process, my holding strategy is also long-term. I don’t know much about technical analysis, nor am I good at reading charts. Maybe the initial timing for buying wasn’t great, but I believe in the value of fundamental analysis, so over the long term, I’m still confident.
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