Pre-market analysis: How to grasp the long-short signals from the technical and news resonance of Tesla, NVIDIA, and Google?

Today (December 26) in the U.S. stock pre-market, the three tech giants Tesla, NVIDIA, and Google continue to attract market attention. Combined with the latest technical indicators (KDJ, MACD, RSI), support/resistance levels, and news dynamics, the long-short logic is gradually becoming clearer. Overall, the market remains supported by the core logic of interest rate cut expectations and AI demand, but individual stock divergences require vigilance against key price level breakthroughs and pullback risks. The detailed analysis is as follows:

I. Core Stock Technicals + Key Price Level Breakdown

1. Tesla (TSLA): Intensified Battle at $500, Technically Bullish but Beware Pullback

Technical Indicator Signals: From recent trends, Tesla's daily KDJ indicator remains in the 80-100 overbought zone, showing signs of divergence, matching its recent consecutive highs and intraday all-time high ($498.83). Short-term pullback needs exist, but the strong uptrend remains intact. The MACD fast and slow lines stay above zero with expanding red bars, confirming the mid-term bullish trend. The RSI has long stayed above 60, reflecting concentrated bullish sentiment despite not entering extreme overbought territory (above 80).

Support & Resistance: Core support lies at $480-485, where $480 is the recent technical low and $485 is a heavy put option (PUT) concentration zone, forming a key defense line. The core resistance is the psychological $500 level, which is also a dense call option (CALL) selling zone by institutions, creating strong resistance.

News Factors: Bullish catalysts include the reinstatement of Musk's 2018 compensation package, boosting his net worth, and shareholder approval of a new $1 trillion compensation plan, with optimism around its AI and robotics vision. Potential bearish risks include the recent minor pullback after failing to break $500 and concerns over vague business positioning and slowing domestic delivery growth.

2. NVIDIA (NVDA): AI Demand Supports Upward Trend, Solid Support Defense

Technical Indicator Signals: While the KDJ shows no clear overbought divergence, it remains elevated, aligning with the stock's upward momentum. The MACD stays above zero with expanding red bars, confirming the mid-term bullish trend. The RSI above 60 reflects sustained optimism around AI chip demand. Current implied volatility (IV) at historical lows suggests expectations for mild short-term fluctuations, but active call option trading indicates strong bullish sentiment.

Support & Resistance: Core support at $170, serving as both the recent technical low and a heavy put option (PUT) concentration zone, forms an "iron wall" defense. Core resistance at $190, the recent high and a dense call option (CALL) zone, presents significant upward pressure. This week's expected range: $175-190; next week may expand to $170-195.

News Factors: The key bullish driver is the planned H200 GPU series delivery to select markets in February 2026, with substantial initial shipments and planned capacity expansion. Market expectations of 129% growth in GB300 AI server cabinet shipments by 2026 further reinforce the AI demand growth narrative.

3. Google (GOOGL): Rising Volatility Expectations, Bullish Sentiment Dominates but Beware Divergence

Technical Indicator Signals: The KDJ remains elevated with no clear divergence signals amid the stock's upward movement. The MACD above zero shows a steady bullish trend. The RSI in the strong zone, coupled with active call option trading, indicates ample short-term buying momentum. Extremely high implied volatility (IV) suggests expectations for sharp price swings.

Support & Resistance: Core support at $180-185, where $180 is a dense put option (PUT) zone and $185 is this week's focal support. Core resistance at $200-205, with $200 being this week's dense call option (CALL) resistance and $205 a potential next-week target. This week's expected range: $185-200; next week may expand to $180-205.

News Factors: Bullish factors include the broader tech giant rally driven by AI profit growth expectations, with Google rising in sync with the "Magnificent Seven" index. Potential risks lie in the market's "short-term bullish, long-term cautious" divergence, as the extreme premium in VIX futures may signal upcoming volatility risks.

II. Overall Long-Short Outlook & Trading Tips

In summary, the three tech stocks currently lean bullish, supported by: 1) Ongoing Fed rate cut expectations (or recession risks if cuts don't materialize), buoying overall market sentiment; 2) Resonating stock-specific catalysts like AI demand growth (NVIDIA), transformation visions (Tesla), and tech giant earnings expectations (Google); 3) Most technical indicators maintaining bullish trends with solid key support defenses.

Key bearish risks to watch: 1) Pullback pressures if key resistances (Tesla $500, NVIDIA $190, Google $200) hold; 2) Widening market divergence, as the extreme VIX futures premium hints at long-term capital hedging against downside risks, potentially triggering short-term volatility; 3) Stock-specific risks like Tesla's business positioning debates and slowing delivery growth.

Trading Tips: Short-term positions can be built around core support levels, but stop-loss should be triggered if prices break below supports (e.g., Tesla $480, NVIDIA $170, Google $180). Avoid chasing highs before confirmed breakouts at key resistances—wait for confirmed breakthroughs or pullback stabilization before entering.

Risk Disclosure: This analysis is based on current market data and technical indicators and does not constitute investment advice. Market fluctuations are influenced by macroeconomic and policy changes—invest with caution.