💣【In-depth Review】Meituan: Is the 87.25 pin a "Golden Pit" or a "Breakdown Kill"? Full Technical Analysis Decrypted! 📉➡️📈

👋 Hey everyone, no Monday-morning quarterbacking here, let's get straight to the hard facts.

Today, $MEITUAN(03690.HK) had a very exciting session, a classic "Liquidity Hunt" script. That drop to 87.25 in the morning scared off how many weak hands? But in the eyes of technical traders, it was a textbook "Pinbar" (single needle bottoming).

🔬 In-depth Analysis: Why I'm Bullish for the Latter Half of the Week?

1️⃣ Extremely Oversold (Oversold Status) 🌡️
The daily RSI has plunged to 18.79! What does this mean? This is a historically rare "deep freeze zone." The stock price is like a spring compressed to its limit, with excessive deviation. The gravitational pull of Mean Reversion is at full force.

2️⃣ Candlestick Language: The Anchoring Needle 🔨
Today's long lower shadow hammer candlestick, combined with the sudden surge in volume in the morning, indicates that main funds completed efficient absorption in the 87-88 range. After the short momentum (Momentum) was exhausted in the morning, the bulls have regained control.

3️⃣ Micro-structure: Bullish Divergence Confirmed 🧐
Switching to the 15-minute/1-hour charts, MACD has already formed a golden cross below the zero line with expanding red bars. This bullish divergence structure signals exhaustion of the downtrend's momentum, and a new upward pivot is being formed.

⏳ Script Scenario: The Time Window Opens

According to the price-volume-time-space model, this week's rhythm is very clear:

Thursday (Recovery Period): 🛠️
Don't expect it to take off directly. Tomorrow is a recovery day. The main task is to repair the MA5 deviation rate, stabilize above the 90 level, and solidify the bottom. This is like a race car regaining grip after a turn.
Friday (Breakout Period): 🚀
Once support is confirmed on Thursday, there's a high probability of a revenge rally on Friday. This is a key trend reversal time node (Time Window). The energy accumulated by the bulls is highly likely to be released intensively on this day, targeting the weekly moving average resistance level (94+).

⚠️ 【Contrarian (Left-Side) Trading · High-Energy Risk Warning】 🛑

Although the technical indicators show strong bottom signals, this still belongs to "left-side speculation" (catching a falling knife).

Position Management: Never go all-in on left-side trades! It's recommended to test the waters with a light position and keep enough ammunition.
Defensive Line: Today's low of 87.25 is the absolute defensive line. If it's effectively broken, it means the logic is invalidated, and you must unconditionally stop loss and retreat.

💡 Summary:
Fear stems from the unknown, greed from ignorance. If 88.85 today isn't the bottom, then where is it? The spring is fully compressed, everyone, hold on tight and get ready for the rebound! 💎🙌