$VG FTSE Developed Markets ETF(VEA.US)

Conclusion: The current price is relatively high. It's recommended to wait and not chase the rally.

1. Current Price & Technicals (as of 2026-02-12 US market close)

- $VG FTSE Developed Markets ETF(VEA.US) at 68.50, having hit a new 52-week high of 69.40

- Up **+13.17%** over the past 3 months, excessive short-term gains, RSI nearing overbought territory

- Yesterday saw a failed rally and closed lower, indicating short-term pullback pressure

2. Why It's Advised to Wait

1. Short-term overheating, high probability of a pullback

- After consecutive short squeezes, there are many profit-takers and heavy selling pressure

- A strengthening US dollar or weaker-than-expected Euro/Japan data could easily trigger a correction

2. Diminishing value for money

- Valuations in non-US developed markets have already recovered, leaving less margin of safety

- Compared to 3 months ago, the same amount of capital buys fewer shares

3. A more stable operational approach

- Long-term allocation: DCA (Dollar-Cost Average), don't go all in at once

- Short-term speculation: Wait and see until the 66–67 range before considering (23.6%–38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels)

- If it directly breaks through 70 with high volume, then a small follow-up position is still timely

3. Specific Actionable Suggestions for You (For Reference Only)

- ✅ Do not buy now, observe first

- ✅ Set 66.5–67.5 as the range for phased position building

- ✅ If it falls below 66, consider increasing DCA intensity

- ✅ If it continues to rise above 70 with high volume, then test with a small position