Since the war began, the S&amp;P has dropped 4 points.The Dow has dropped 3 points.The Nasdaq has dropped less than 10 points.At this level, is the risk greater or the opportunity greater?

$NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US) The whole world is panicking, let the bullets fly for a while.

Bold AssumptionThe US cannot afford to lose this war.1. Withdrawing now would weaken the trust of Middle Eastern allies in the US, and the petrodollar would likely embark on a path of slow collapse. This is one of the foundations of the US, and consolidating the petrodollar is the most important strategic objective of this war.2. Full-scale intervention, completely overthrowing the regime. It would be a quagmire, but to preserve the petrodollar, it must be done.3. Strangle Iran's oil exports to force an agreement. This is the lowest-cost way for the US to achieve its strategic objective. The market is currently pricing in option 3.What if that doesn't work?For stocks, either option 1 or 2 would trigger a crash.The strategy is, we have to continue being defensive.What if...?Why should I take this risk?1. Wouldn't it be better to wait until the market actually crashes before considering it?2. Wouldn't it be better to re-enter only after a deal is truly reached?Good companies can weather bull and bear markets, but why should I go long on the stock market when I know there are significant risks?

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