$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

1 Trump's tough talk today will likely push the market down in early April to find a bottom. This bottom is hard to predict, probably between 6160-6360, a bit lower than March's 6316 bottom.

The plot might be somewhat similar to last year. One day, some event will happen, and the market will surge again.

Last year on Wednesday, April 9th, I was eating crayfish, trapped in my positions. I had just deposited funds and was planning to buy the next day. In the early hours of April 9th, he announced the tariff delay, and the S&P almost exploded up 10%... I just watched that big green candle shoot up.

To prepare for this phase bottom and not miss it, I'm starting to deposit funds today, buying in batches slowly. Why didn't I go heavy on Monday? Because that 6316 clearly didn't look like a bottom, not brutal enough, a bit random. So I expect there will be lower points in April. I want to catch this bottom so I can have a heavier position.

Essentially, I still prefer being long. It's been awkward shorting every day these past few months, but it's necessary to make money.

2 To find this bottom, the future sell-off might be quite severe. I don't know which specific days will be up or down, but a group of people will definitely be forced to sell at a loss. Their mentality will collapse; they won't be able to hold on.

3 I bought one share of MU myself. I want to see how much it can drop in extreme cases so I can bottom-fish.

4 I'll ignore SNDK's ups and downs for now. If it goes back above 700+, I'll continue shorting and accumulating.

5 Also bought a small amount of SCO (2x short oil). High oil prices are only temporary. Accumulating some positions at highs to eat a bit when it crashes later.

6 If NVDA/TSLA/GOOGL encounter a big drop, the value proposition will reappear. The lower the price, the better, especially Tesla. Many are trapped above, and heavily so, like buying at 400+ for 500, 1000 shares, etc. These people obviously don't look at technicals at all and think it's useless. But they will eventually get out because Tesla will rally back up for another wave later. I basically caught every Tesla wave last year; I love this stock too much.

7 SNDK will trap a bunch of people. Even if it doesn't trap them now, it will when it rallies in the future because many have faith, which is scary.

8 Based on today's daytime technical analysis, the S&P will retest the 6473 gap, so I cleared all my short positions earlier. At the open, sure enough, it hit 6474.94 and then rallied. Normally, it shouldn't break below this point today. It will squeeze the shorts; shorts being too greedy today will find it hard to profit.