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Extreme Oil Prices vs. Extreme Volatility: Which Will Collapse First?
Oil prices saw their largest single-day gain since recent high-level consolidation, with implied daily volatility nearing 6%, potentially leading to a malfunction in market pricing mechanisms. JPMorgan believes oil prices may continue to rise. The short-term divergence between oil prices and the S&P 500 (inversely) has expanded to extreme levels; if this divergence corrects in a low-liquidity environment during the Easter holiday, market volatility could amplify again
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