Don't rush to guess the ups and downs, first learn to 'filter out the noise'. Over the years in the stock market, I've seen too many newcomers who immediately want to 'predict the ups and downs,' always thinking about which day it will rise or fall, as if guessing right once will make them rich. But to be honest—the market isn't about guessing. If you rely on guessing, sooner or later, the market will teach you a lesson. Look at the recent CRCL$Circle(CRCL.US) trend—how many people chased highs and sold lows, going in and out, only to get repeatedly harvested? When buying, they were full of confidence; when it fell, they panicked; after selling, it rose again, leaving them full of regret... It's like riding a roller coaster...