
AI PCBs have officially entered their second super-cycle, with the core drivers being: value leap + technological upgrade + supply gap, not a price war.
I. Core Drivers
• Sustained high growth in overseas CSP capital expenditure: +66% in 2024, +65% in 2025, projected +69% in 2026, indicating extremely strong support for computing infrastructure.
• Exponential value surge per card/machine:
From general-purpose servers → H100 8-card → GB series → Rubin series, single-card cost pushing $600+, with per-machine value increasing up to 7-8 times.
II. Three Key Technological Increments (Most Critical)
1. Midplane Backplane
Debuting with Ruby Ultra 144GPU, starting from 78 layers → pushing 100+ layers, single piece value up to $200k, representing the largest incremental factor in this cycle.
2. LPU Inference Chip
Paired with GPUs at a 1:2 ratio, single LPU PCB value exceeds ¥2,000, adding approximately ¥4,000 per GPU.
3. COP Substrate Integration
Integration of packaging + PCB using MSAP process, with potential mass production in 1-2 years, featuring extremely high technical barriers.
III. Supply and Competitive Landscape
• Industry HPC Capex explosion: +7% in 2024 → +130% in 2025 → projected +140% in 2026, far exceeding the 5G cycle.
• The core contradiction is a high-end capacity gap, not a price war; market share redistribution does not impact leading players' profitability.
• Layer count/material/process thresholds are significantly raised, leading to continued concentration among top players.
IV. Core Conclusion
AI PCB is not a regular cycle; it's a long-term structural upgrade driven by computing architecture iteration.
Midplane backplane + LPU + high-layer-count PCBs are the strongest investment themes for the next 2 years, with leading companies continuing to benefit.
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