There's Reason For Concern Over Colour Life Services Group Co., Limited's (HKG:1778) Massive 32% Price Jump
Colour Life Services Group Co., Limited (HKG:1778) has seen a significant 32% price increase in the last month, with a 29% rise over the past year. However, its high P/E ratio of 22.1x raises concerns, especially as the company has experienced a decline in earnings, with a 14% drop in EPS over three years. Analysts suggest that the current high P/E may not be justified given the company's underperformance compared to market forecasts. Investors should be cautious, as the stock price may not be sustainable without improvement in earnings.
Despite an already strong run, Colour Life Services Group Co., Limited (HKG:1778) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 29% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, Colour Life Services Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 12x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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For instance, Colour Life Services Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Colour Life Services Group
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Colour Life Services Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Colour Life Services Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 14% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Colour Life Services Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Colour Life Services Group's P/E
Colour Life Services Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Colour Life Services Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Colour Life Services Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Colour Life Services Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
