Qeeka Home (Cayman) Inc. (HKG:1739) Shares Fly 30% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Qeeka Home (Cayman) Inc. (HKG:1739) shares surged 30% in the last month, with a yearly gain of 22%. Despite this, the company's low price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.3x raises concerns, as revenue has declined by 29% over the past year. Analysts suggest that the low P/S reflects limited growth expectations compared to the industry, which is forecasted to grow by 13%. Investors should be cautious, as continued revenue decline may lead to further drops in the P/S ratio. Four warning signs have been identified for the company.
Qeeka Home (Cayman) Inc. (HKG:1739) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, when close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Qeeka Home (Cayman) as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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Check out our latest analysis for Qeeka Home (Cayman)
How Qeeka Home (Cayman) Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Qeeka Home (Cayman) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 11% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s P/S?
Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
It's no surprise that Qeeka Home (Cayman) maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Qeeka Home (Cayman) you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Qeeka Home (Cayman), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
