Grupo Aval’s Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges

Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores Sa Pfd ((AVAL)) has held its Q3 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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Grupo Aval’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by substantial net income growth and strategic advancements, particularly in asset management and sustainability. Despite these positive developments, the company acknowledged the macroeconomic challenges posed by fiscal deficits and inflationary pressures.

Record Net Income Growth

Grupo Aval reported a year-to-date net income of COP 1.4 trillion, reflecting an impressive 88% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The quarterly net income reached COP 521 billion, the highest in three years, with a 25.3% year-over-year growth. This record-breaking performance underscores the company’s strong financial trajectory.

Strong Deposit and Loan Growth

The company experienced significant growth in peso-denominated deposits from individuals, which rose by 22% year-over-year. Savings and checking accounts increased by 11%, while term deposits surged by 31%. Consumer loans saw the strongest quarterly growth in a decade at 1.5%, with commercial loans growing by 2.1% during the quarter.

Sustainability and ESG Achievements

Grupo Aval has made significant strides in sustainability, defining a comprehensive strategy and earning accolades for its efforts. The company is now recognized among the top 50 leading companies in sustainability in Colombia, highlighting its commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.

Advancements in Asset Management

Aval Fiduciaria is on track to become Colombia’s largest fiduciary, with assets under management reaching COP 201 trillion. The company projects a fee income growth of 13.2% by 2026, indicating a strong future in asset management.

Fiscal Environment Challenges

The fiscal environment in Colombia remains a concern, with a projected fiscal deficit of minus 7.5% of GDP in 2025. This ongoing challenge underscores the need for fiscal balance and economic stability.

Inflationary Pressures

Inflation has stalled at 5.1% in October, with expectations to close at 5.3% in 2025. These inflationary pressures could impact economic conditions and growth prospects, posing a challenge for the company’s future performance.

Forward-Looking Guidance

Looking ahead, Grupo Aval anticipates a return on average equity of around 10.5% in 2025, with projected loan growth of 4.5% and a cost of risk around 1.9%. For 2026, the company expects an ROE between 12% and 12.5%, loan growth near 8%, and a slight increase in the cost of risk to approximately 2%. These projections reflect the company’s strategic focus on growth and risk management.

In summary, Grupo Aval’s earnings call highlighted a strong financial performance and strategic advancements, despite the challenges posed by the macroeconomic environment. The company’s record net income growth, robust deposit and loan expansion, and commitment to sustainability and asset management position it well for future success. However, fiscal deficits and inflationary pressures remain significant hurdles to navigate.