Morning Trend | CHINASOFT INT'L experiences a volume reduction pullback, is the critical point approaching a rebound temptation?

Technical Forecast
2025.11.18 01:00
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ChinaSoft International (354.HK) has recently seen its stock price retreat from a high, undergoing continuous volume contraction adjustments. The technical MACD indicator shows a clear death cross signal, indicating a bearish main trend. Currently, the daily K-line exhibits a mild downward oscillation, with the 5-day and 10-day moving averages both declining, exerting pressure on the price. The continuous shrinkage in trading volume suggests that market funds are in a wait-and-see mode, and the main force has not yet initiated a new offensive. From an industry and fundamental perspective, the company primarily engages in software development and cloud computing services, significantly influenced by macro policies and the theme of the digital economy. Recently, sector rotation has occurred, with funds showing a preference for more elastic targets, leading to reduced enthusiasm for allocations in the software sector and causing the stock price to weaken in the short term. Additionally, the company's interim report expectations have not been fully realized, prompting some funds to choose to exit early and observe. In the short term, the current price level is approaching a previously dense trading area, and the bottom support strength remains to be verified. If there is an active increase in funds to drive the price up, coupled with a technical MACD recovery, a rebound structure may form. Otherwise, if it breaks below the key support platform, there is a possibility of accelerating to retest previous lows, leading to a second bottoming. Operational advice: Patiently wait for the verification of the effectiveness of the lower support, and pay attention to large order inflows and volume recovery. If it stabilizes and rebounds with increased volume breaking through the 5-day moving average, consider seizing the rebound, but strict stop-loss and position control are necessary. Conversely, if it breaks downwards, timely stop-loss should be implemented to avoid risks. Overall, while there may be temptation for a short-term rebound in ChinaSoft International, caution should be maintained until right-side signal confirmation

China Software International (354.HK) has recently seen its stock price retreat from a high, undergoing a continuous volume contraction adjustment. The technical MACD indicator shows a clear death cross signal, indicating a bearish main trend. Currently, the daily K-line presents a mild oscillating downward trend, with the 5-day and 10-day moving averages both declining, exerting pressure on the price. The continuous shrinkage in trading volume indicates that market funds are in a wait-and-see mode, and the main force has yet to initiate a new offensive.

From an industry and fundamental perspective, the company primarily engages in software development and cloud computing services, significantly influenced by macro policies and the theme of the digital economy. Recently, sector rotation has favored more elastic targets, leading to reduced enthusiasm for allocation in the software sector, which has resulted in a short-term weakening of the stock price. Meanwhile, the company's interim report expectations have not been fully realized, prompting some funds to choose to exit early and observe.

In the short term, the current price level is approaching a previously dense trading area, and the bottom support strength needs to be verified. If there is an active increase in funds driving the price up, combined with a technical MACD recovery, a rebound structure may form. Otherwise, if it breaks below the key support platform, a rapid return to previous lows cannot be ruled out, leading to a second bottoming.

Operational advice: Patiently wait for the verification of the effectiveness of the lower support, and pay attention to large order inflows and volume recovery. If it stabilizes and rebounds with a volume breakout above the 5-day moving average, consider seizing the rebound, but strict stop-loss and position control are necessary. Conversely, if it breaks downwards, timely stop-loss should be implemented to avoid risks. Overall, while there may be temptation for a short-term rebound in China Software International, caution should be maintained until right-side signal confirmation