Morning Trend | Nutrien continues to weaken, approaching new lows; can the rebound window ignite bullish enthusiasm?

Nutrien (NTR.US) has continued to decline, with three consecutive bearish daily candlesticks, breaking through various moving averages. The storm in the international fertilizer industry has intensified again, and the atmosphere of long and short positions is spreading to the trading community. On the market, Nutrien's stock price has dropped to a nearly one-year low, and short-term bottom-fishing funds are starting to increase their activities. Market focus is shifting to the question of whether "after a significant drop, a strong rebound will occur." From a driving perspective, global fertilizer prices are highly volatile, export expectations are unstable, and the dual impact of short-term policy bottlenecks and shrinking demand has significantly increased the divergence among mainstream institutions regarding Nutrien. The candlestick structure shows that the stock price has fallen below the $58 support level and has entered a densely packed support area, accompanied by increased intraday trading volume, with voices in the community indicating "clear signs of major players buying at low prices." However, caution is needed as the bearish inertia is strong, and sector sentiment has not fully improved. For a rebound to occur, the next two trading days must see a continuous decrease in volume and stabilization around the $58 level. If the major players can leverage event-driven stimuli or slightly improve external sentiment for a quick follow-up, the target of the $63 gap is expected to become the first stop for the rebound. In terms of operations, traders are advised to prepare for both scenarios: maintain a stop-loss at $58, and if there is a stabilization with reduced volume + intraday anomalies, timely T+0 trades should be executed for low-position arbitrage. If major funds are clearly supporting the stock, it is advisable to participate in the rebound; however, if there is another significant volume drop, it is crucial to avoid counter-trend resistance. In summary, Nutrien's current decline is substantial, signs of major players buying at low prices are beginning to emerge, and the rebound window is at a critical point

From a driving perspective, global fertilizer prices are highly volatile, export expectations are unstable, and the dual blows of short-term policy bottlenecks and shrinking demand have significantly increased the divergence among mainstream institutions regarding Nutrien. The candlestick structure shows that the stock price has fallen below the $58 support level and has entered a densely packed support area, accompanied by increased intraday trading volume, with voices in the community noting "clear signs of major players buying at low prices."

However, caution is warranted as the bearish inertia is strong, and sector sentiment has not fully improved. For a rebound to occur, the $58 level must show continuous volume contraction and stabilization over the next two trading days. If major players can quickly take advantage of event stimuli or slightly repair external sentiment, the $63 gap is expected to become the first target for the rebound.

In terms of operations, traders are advised to prepare for both scenarios: maintain a stop-loss at $58, and if there is a volume contraction stabilization + intraday anomalies, timely T+0 for low-position arbitrage. If major funds are clearly supporting the stock, try to participate in the rebound; however, if there is another significant volume breakdown, avoid going against the trend.

In summary, Nutrien's current decline is substantial, signs of major players buying at low prices are beginning to emerge, and the rebound window is at a critical point. Focus on subsequent intraday capital flows and sentiment shifts, as short-term speculative opportunities under high volatility may ignite at any moment