<div id="readability-page-1"><div>                     <figure><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.marketbeat.com/logos/articles/med_20251201133255_fossil-stock-is-quietly-surginginsiders-just-made.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="1200" height="800" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.marketbeat.com/logos/articles/med_20251201133255_fossil-stock-is-quietly-surginginsiders-just-made.jpg"/><figcaption>Image Licensed from DepositPhotos. License #353000200</figcaption></figure><div><h2>Key Points</h2><ul> <li><strong>Fossil Group faces headwinds, but its turnaround gains traction in 2025.</strong></li> <li><strong>Debt restructuring resulted in a credit upgrade and improved market confidence. </strong></li> <li><strong>Insiders are buying, and institutions are too, and the stock price is set up for a reversal.</strong></li> </ul></div> <p>Insiders made significant purchases of Fossil Group (NASDAQ: FOSL) stock in November. The buys followed a mixed earnings report in which revenue declines were less than feared, but margins were weaker than feared. The critical details, however, are that the company is in the midst of a transformation and has achieved milestones during the period, including debt restructuring and balance sheet improvements that set it up for subsequent growth efforts.</p> <p>Regarding the business, the watch market remains weak but shows some signs of life. Within it, Fossil Group continues to rank highly among consumers, maintaining its brand image and cachet via partnerships and a full-priced selling model. While the margin was weak in FQ3, the weakness was due to tariffs and minimum royalties for licensed brands that were offset by <strong>improved operational quality</strong>. Looking forward, improved operational quality positions the business for an earnings rebound as it returns to growth. </p> <p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.marketbeat.com/logos/articles/med_20251201095152_chart-fosl-1212-25ver001.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="917" height="437" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.marketbeat.com/logos/articles/med_20251201095152_chart-fosl-1212-25ver001.png"/></p> <h2>Insiders and Institutions Buy Fossil Brands Stock at Discount Prices</h2> <p>Insider buying is significant because no insiders have sold stock in years, and the Q4 2025 purchases are at near-record levels. The group, including the CEO, CFO, COO, and three directors, bought more than $700,000 in shares, bringing their total holdings to nearly 8% of the stock. The buys reveal increased confidence in the business and value, which is echoed by institutional activity. </p><hr/><hr/> <p>Institutional activity includes some selling over the past year, but it is offset each quarter by buyers. The net result is that this group is <strong>accumulating stock </strong>at a pace of $3.60 per $1 sold, a strong tailwind for the stock that may lead to a short-covering rally by year’s end. </p> <p>The short interest is not wickedly high at 10.5%, but it is sufficiently high to aid volatility and fuel a short-covering rally. The mid-November data reveals shorts were covering ahead of the report, and the trend is likely to have continued afterward. While the results were mixed, the company’s health has improved, and the outlook has brightened. The question now is when the next catalyst may emerge, and it could be as soon as this month when retail sales data is released. Not only are November sales data expected, but details from Black Friday and Cyber Monday may also be market-moving.</p> <h2>Fossil Brands Transforms Balance Sheet in Q4</h2> <p>Perhaps the most significant detail from the Q3 release is the debt restructuring, which was completed after the quarter’s end. The restructuring extended the earliest maturity to 2029 and injected more than $32 million into the balance sheet, freeing up cash flow and improving flexibility. The risk is that the approximately $110 million on the balance sheet may not be enough to see the company through to profitability. The guidance expects to break even in 2025 with a possibility of adjusted profits, but may continue to struggle in 2026 if macroeconomic headwinds don’t ease sufficiently.</p> <p>The chart looks good. The weekly action reveals a double bottom playing out between 2024 and 2025, and a market setting up to <strong>complete a reversal</strong> in Q4 2025. Price action in August and later in November shows and confirms support at critical levels and a high potential for the rally to continue. The crucial resistance point is near $3.50 and will likely be tested before year-end. A move above $3.50 will confirm the technical reversal and set this market up for a 2026 rally. If not, FOSL stock will remain range-bound near current levels until a more potent catalyst emerges. </p> <p>Analysts could be a catalyst for this market. The coverage is tepid in 2025, with only two tracked by MarketBeat, but the data reveals some optimism. The consensus Hold rating comprises a Sell and a Buy, with the Buyer forecasting 65% upside. The catalyst is increased coverage, driven by improving business conditions and the outlook for discretionary spending, but may not emerge until later in 2026, if at all. </p>                     <div>                         <p>Insider Buying or Selling at Fossil Group?</p>                         <p>Sign-up to receive InsiderTrades.com's daily insider buying and selling report for Fossil Group and related companies.</p>                                                                       </div>                     <h2>Companies in This Article:</h2><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Current Price</th><th>Price Change</th><th>Dividend Yield</th><th>P/E Ratio</th><th>Consensus Rating</th><th>Consensus Price Target</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Fossil Group (FOSL)</td><td>$3.13</td><td>+4.0%</td><td>N/A</td><td>-2.82</td><td>Hold</td><td>$5.00</td></tr></tbody></table>                     <div id="author-thomas-hughes"><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.insidertrades.com/logos/authors/thumb_20240402094517_author-thomas-hughes.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" height="169" width="113" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.insidertrades.com/logos/authors/thumb_20240402094517_author-thomas-hughes.jpg"/></p><div><div><h2>About Thomas Hughes</h2><p>[email protected]</p></div><div><h3>Experience</h3><p>Thomas Hughes has been a contributing writer for InsiderTrades.com since 2019.</p><ul> <li><strong>Professional Background:</strong> Thomas Hughes is the Managing Partner of Passive Market Intelligence LLC, a market research platform he launched in 2023 with the mission: “We watch the market so you don't have to.” He has worked as a blogger, stock market commentator, and independent analyst since 2010 and has been actively involved in trading and investing since 2005.</li> <li><strong>Credentials:</strong> He holds an Associate of Arts in Culinary Technology—training that honed his discipline, attention to detail, and ability to anticipate outcomes, all of which carry over into his work as a market analyst.</li> <li><strong>Finance Experience:</strong> Thomas has been writing about finance and investing since 2011, when he discovered it could be more than a personal passion—it could be a profession. He’s been a contributing writer for InsiderTrades.com since 2019.</li> <li><strong>Writing Focus:</strong> He specializes in the S&amp;P 500, small-cap stocks, dividend and high-yield strategies, consumer staples, retail, technology, oil, and cryptocurrencies. His analysis blends chart-based technical setups with key fundamental insights, helping readers identify actionable trends.</li> <li><strong>Investment Approach:</strong> Thomas takes a hybrid approach that combines technical analysis with deep fundamental research. He often writes about macroeconomic shifts, earnings trends, and sentiment-based trading signals.</li> <li><strong>Inspiration:</strong> Thomas first became interested in stocks after attending a seminar on how to buy and sell your own shares. 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FOSLL

FOSL

<p>Fossil Group insiders and institutions are buying stock, signaling confidence in the company's turnaround and potential for stock price reversal. Debt restructuring improved market confidence, and insider purchases in November totaled over $700,000. The stock price is set up for a reversal, with critical resistance at $3.50. Analysts forecast a 65% upside, driven by improved business conditions.</p>

Fossil Stock Is Quietly Surging—Insiders Just Made Big Bets