Morning Trend | SINOTRUK (3808.HK) is about to surge, is a short-term rebound window about to open?

China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (3808.HK) attracted significant capital inflow during yesterday's trading session, with overall sector activity increasing. Coupled with the year-on-year growth in heavy truck sales in November and the dual benefits of a new round of rural vehicle policies, expectations for industry recovery have rapidly intensified. Short-term main funds are capturing right-side momentum, pushing China National Heavy Duty Truck Group to maintain strong fluctuations in a robust zone for several consecutive days. From a technical perspective, the daily K-line shows two consecutive bullish candles for China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, with buying pressure continuously strengthening during the session, making multiple attempts to challenge the phase's previous high. Short-cycle moving averages exhibit a driving effect, restoring market risk appetite, and the logic of capital inflow is particularly evident on the intraday chart. However, main funds remain cautious overall, especially with frequent intraday speculative battles, indicating that the temporary balance between bulls and bears has not been completely broken. From an indicator perspective, the MACD golden cross signal combined with a strengthening RSI suggests that the short-term rebound window is likely to continue. However, close attention should be paid to the degree of volume support; if trading volume continues to increase, it will benefit the further strengthening of the rebound trend. Conversely, if capital follow-up is weak or external policy disturbances occur, the rebound may be fleeting or even quickly lose ground. From a risk perspective, the industry's prosperity cycle and policy dividends can easily influence capital behavior. If the stimulus for rural vehicle purchases weakens and demand comes under pressure, it may trigger institutions to quickly realize profits, leading to sensitive adjustments in the market. Therefore, short-term chasing highs requires strict adherence to profit-taking, stop-loss, and position diversification strategies