Morning Trend | MP Materials Continuous Tug-of-War, Is an Oversold Rebound Window Coming?

Technical Forecast
2025.12.16 13:00
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MP Materials (MP.US) experienced repeated tug-of-war yesterday, opening lower in the morning and then seeing short-term buying, but there was no sustained volume. The closing showed a significant divergence between bulls and bears. The sector's attention remains high, with the rare earth resource sector being oversold for several consecutive days, and mainstream community players are actively discussing whether short-term funds have the opportunity to get on board. This week, upstream resources in the new energy sector have been severely shaken by global supply and demand and geopolitical situations. Recent related policies and industrial catalyst expectations are unclear, with insufficient short-term positives, but resource stock prices have entered a clearly emotional bottom zone. Market sentiment is cautious, with the main players focusing on controlling the market and a heavy wait-and-see attitude. From the current market perspective, MP Materials continues to be in an oversold state, repeatedly testing near the lower Bollinger Band, with RSI being extremely suppressed. If there is a sudden increase in volume during the session, the market's momentum could easily ignite a rebound from the oversold condition. Conversely, without sufficient trading support, it is very likely to continue oscillating within the range. The core variables are the warming of the main board and unusual trading volume, with the community's general focus on whether a second wave can be generated from a short-term reversal. Traders suggest amplifying intraday fluctuations and closely monitoring signals of main board movements and sector synchronization