<div id="readability-page-1">Money Markets Can SMCI Stock Recover If It Falls Another 30%?  ByTrefis Team ,  Contributor.  Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for  Great Speculations Follow Author Dec 17, 2025, 09:29am EST Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have decreased by 13.1% over the last 21 trading days. This recent decline indicates a shift in investor interest away from AI-related stocks and highlights the execution risks and margin pressures faced by SMCI. However, significant declines like this often provoke a more challenging question: is this weakness a fleeting issue, or does it indicate more profound issues within the company?  CHONGQING, CHINA - JULY 31: In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the logo of Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI), a leading American provider of high-performance server and storage systems, with the company's green oval and red dot logo visible in the background, on July 31, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images) Getty Images Before evaluating its downturn resilience, let’s examine the current standing of Super Micro Computer.  Size: Super Micro Computer is a $19 billion company with a revenue of $21 billion, currently priced at $31.66 per share.  Fundamentals: Revenue growth over the last 12 months was 11.9% with an operating margin of 4.4%.  Liquidity: Holds a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.17 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.29.  Valuation: Super Micro Computer stock presently trades at a P/E ratio of 36.0 and a P/EBIT ratio of 28.9.  Has offered a median return of 30.9% within a year following sharp declines since 2010. Refer to SMCI Dip Buy Analysis.  These indicators reflect a strong combined with strong valuation, positioning the stock as strong. For further details, refer to Buy or Sell SMCI Stock .  This brings us to a crucial consideration for investors anxious about this downturn: how resilient is SMCI stock if the markets head south? This is where our downturn resilience framework becomes relevant. If SMCI stock dips another 20-30% to $22, can investors hold on with confidence? It turns out, the stock experienced a slightly worse impact than the S&amp;P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) the extent of the stock’s decline and (b) the speed of its recovery. Below, we take a closer look at each downturn.  2022 Inflation Shock  SMCI stock fell 34.5% from a peak of $35.33 on August 7, 2023, to $23.15 on September 21, 2023, compared to a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% for the S&amp;P 500.  However, the stock completely regained its pre-Crisis peak by January 19, 2024.  Since that time, the stock has risen to a high of $118.81 on March 13, 2024, and is currently trading at $31.66.  2022 Trefis  2020 Covid Pandemic  SMCI stock dropped 45.8% from a peak of $2.95 on February 5, 2020, to $1.60 on March 18, 2020, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&amp;P 500.  Nevertheless, the stock completely regained its pre-Crisis peak by June 8, 2020.  2020 Trefis MORE FOR YOU  2018 Correction  SMCI stock decreased by 59.6% from a peak of $2.89 on January 4, 2017, to $1.17 on November 8, 2018, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&amp;P 500.  Nonetheless, the stock fully rebounded to its pre-Crisis peak by January 22, 2020.  2018 Trefis 2008 Global Financial Crisis  SMCI stock declined 66.3% from a peak of $1.14 on June 5, 2007, to $0.39 on November 13, 2008, versus a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&amp;P 500  Nevertheless, the stock completely recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by December 22, 2009.  Feeling nervous about SMCI stock? Consider a portfolio approach.  Portfolios Outperform Stock Selection  Individual stock choices can be unpredictable, but remaining invested is essential. A well-diversified portfolio enables you to stay the course, seize opportunities for growth, and mitigate risks.  The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio , comprising 30 different stocks, has consistently outperformed its benchmark, including all three indices – the S&amp;P 500, S&amp;P mid-cap, and Russell 2000. What accounts for this? Collectively, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered superior returns with diminished risk compared to the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster experience, as demonstrated by HQ Portfolio performance metrics .  Editorial Standards Reprints &amp; Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... FORBES’ FEATURED Video</div>

SMCI

<p>Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have fallen 13.1% over 21 days, raising concerns about further declines. Despite past resilience during economic downturns, the stock faces execution risks and margin pressures. Historically, SMCI has rebounded from significant drops, but investors are advised to consider a diversified portfolio approach to mitigate risks. The Trefis High Quality Portfolio has outperformed benchmarks, offering a less volatile investment option.</p>

- Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have declined by 13.1% recently, reflecting reduced investor interest and highlighting execution risks.  
- The company's stable financials include $19 billion in value, $21 billion in revenue, and a history of recovering from substantial downturns, such as a 45.8% drop during the Covid pandemic.  
- Investors are encouraged to consider a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks, as the Trefis High Quality Portfolio consistently outperforms major indices.