Morning Trend | Vistra main force escapes, can the oversold rebound window be opened?

Vistra (VST.US) has been on a continuous decline, operating weakly in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands yesterday, with net capital outflow reaching a new high. There are already divergences in the community: will it continue to plunge under short selling, or will there be a short-term rebound due to overselling? Technical analysis shows that both MACD and moving averages are under pressure, the volatility range is narrowing, and trading volume has not effectively increased, with both bulls and bears waiting at a critical point. Recently, the power and energy sectors lack new stimuli, and there are no new developments in external interest rates, leading to the inside joke of "calm as water" regarding the current situation. Some ultra-short funds are eyeing the continuously oversold chips, and if there is a significant intraday volume increase or unusual movements in individual stocks, it could ignite short-term rebound sentiment, even leading to a rapid pullback. However, it should be noted that high-low switching depends on the main force's direction; if the volume does not cooperate, it is a false signal, and real movements require cooperation. From a risk control perspective, pay attention to the combination signals of losing support levels and persistently low trading volume. If the main force shows no signs of increasing holdings, the inertia of decline remains the main theme. Many in the community are betting on short-term rebounds, but the cautious faction is more focused on the flow of main funds and changes in industry news. Overall, if VST sees a significant capital inflow during the day, it is likely to trigger a window for an oversold rebound; conversely, if the trend does not change, the risk of continued decline must still be heeded. Short-term funds can cautiously test positions, but heavy bets in one direction should be avoided