<div id="readability-page-1">Key Takeaways Inflation is forecast to cool but remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, raising uncertainty about whether the U.S. can truly achieve a “soft landing.” Economic growth may start strong in early 2026 but could slow later in the year as tariffs rise and immigration tightens, even as the risk of a full recession appears limited. In...</div>

<p>Inflation is expected to decrease but stay above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, creating uncertainty about a potential "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. Economic growth may begin robustly in early 2026 but could decelerate later in the year due to rising tariffs and stricter immigration policies, although the likelihood of a full recession remains low.</p>

Are we headed for a ‘soft landing’ or a recession in 2026?