Cox Automotive predicts 15.8M new-vehicle sales in 2026, 2.4% drop from 2025 due to market slowdown.
Cox Automotive estimates that new-vehicle sales in the U.S. are predicted to hit 15.8 million units by 2026, showing a decrease of 2.4% compared to the previous year. The majority of key indicators in the automotive market are forecasted to experience slight decreases in 2026 following a period of surpassing expectations in 2025. Factors such as market fragmentation, evolving consumer preferences, and uncertain policies are expected to play a role in these anticipated trends.
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