Morning Trend | YUE YUEN IND fluctuates at a high level, can the consumer sector's rebound continue?

Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings Limited (551.HK) has continued to maintain a high-level oscillation this week. The technical MACD daily line has achieved a golden cross, but the trading volume has not shown continuous expansion, leading to increased divergence between bulls and bears. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are flattening, and the stock price is consolidating sideways, with main funds in a dilemma. The consumer sector as a whole is entering a window for catch-up gains. As macroeconomic policies for stable growth gradually take effect, the market has high expectations for consumer recovery. As a leading footwear exporter, Yue Yuen has a solid foundation, and the warming of export orders is expected to drive a short-term rebound in performance. However, caution is needed regarding the sustainability of the recovery in end-demand and the risks of exchange rate fluctuations on performance. The high-level oscillation in the market reflects significant capital divergence; if sector enthusiasm increases alongside external macro improvements, it may trigger a new round of catch-up gains. However, if trading volume remains sluggish, the probability of a downward trend after high-level consolidation cannot be ignored. Operational advice: pay attention to the changes in support and resistance at the upper and lower bounds of the trading range, and do not blindly chase highs. Participation in catch-up gain speculation can occur if a breakout with increased volume happens; otherwise, prioritize defensive strategies. Overall, whether the catch-up gains can be sustained requires close monitoring of industry data and changes in market sentiment