Morning Trend | FOREST CABIN (2657.HK) consolidates with reduced volume, market sentiment is cautious; who can break the deadlock?

Technical Forecast
2026.01.21 01:00
portai
I'm PortAI, I can summarize articles.

FOREST CABIN (2657.HK) has recently shown strong consolidation characteristics, with the daily MACD just forming a golden cross, technically slightly bullish. However, yesterday's trading volume did not show significant expansion, indicating a clear feature of extreme low-volume consolidation. After rebounding from the previous adjustment low, the stock price has been consolidating around the 5-day moving average for several days, with a strong market wait-and-see sentiment and limited willingness for short-term capital to enter. The company's fundamentals are solid, and the overall demand in the skincare industry is steadily recovering, with consumption-themed funds expected to rotate for allocation. However, there has not been an effective gathering of hot spots, and most investors are choosing to remain cautiously observant. There are currently no significant positive catalysts in the news, and the sector's interconnectivity is weak, lacking core driving forces to propel the market upward in the short term. From a technical perspective, the MACD golden cross signal combined with short-term moving average support theoretically indicates strengthening momentum, but continuous low volume shows that the market is in a state of equilibrium between bulls and bears. If we see a significant increase in trading volume and a breakout above the upper range, the deadlock may be broken, and short-term gains could accelerate. Conversely, if the volume remains sluggish, it cannot be ruled out that the stock price will continue to fluctuate weakly between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. In terms of operational advice, it is advisable to avoid chasing prices and maintain a bottom position, focusing on independent volume spikes and signals of main force activity. If the industry experiences structural policy benefits or the company's performance exceeds expectations, one can seize short-term opportunities accordingly; otherwise, it is recommended to hold cash and observe while dynamically tracking. For risk control, it is advised to strictly implement profit-taking and stop-loss measures to guard against sudden drops in a low-volume pattern