China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (HKG:2319) Annual Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Investors in China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (HKG:2319) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.0% to close at HK$17.18 following the release of its full-year results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of CN¥82b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.40. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for China Mengniu Dairy from 28 analysts is for revenues of CN¥86.0b in 2026. If met, it would imply a reasonable 4.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 218% to CN¥1.27. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥85.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.29 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates. Check out our latest analysis for China Mengniu Dairy It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at HK$21.39. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values China Mengniu Dairy at HK$27.15 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$16.19. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure. Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting China Mengniu Dairy's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 4.6% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 0.9% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.0% annually. China Mengniu Dairy is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors. The Bottom Line The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$21.39, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets. With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on China Mengniu Dairy. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple China Mengniu Dairy analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Mengniu Dairy you should be aware of.