
HSBC Research Raises Hong Kong 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 3.8%, Lifts 2027 to 3% on More Optimistic Outlook

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HSBC Global Investment Research has raised its GDP growth forecasts for Hong Kong to 3.8% for 2026 and 3% for 2027, up from previous estimates of 2.7% and 2.8%. This optimistic outlook follows a strong 1Q26 GDP growth of 5.9% and limited impact from the Middle East conflict. The report highlights Hong Kong's service-led economy, government support measures, and potential capital inflows as key factors. Additionally, improvements in the residential property market and labor conditions are expected to boost consumption and investment activity.
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