记录想法，不一定对，但保证有逻辑
RH哥哥$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Ps S&P 500 Mmtm(SPMO.US)
This time, I also liquidated my NVDA position.
Reallocated to SPMO, went all in on SPMO, with some momentum, following the market.
Bros, I'm out of the game, not planning to mess around anymore, will just DCA into index funds from now on.
Wishing everyone prosperity!
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)$Ps S&P 500 Mmtm(SPMO.US)
The software narrative is too weak now.
Have cleared the Palantir position.
All reallocated to SPMO.
Will also move the remaining NVDA to index funds in the future.
All passive investing now.😊
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
I haven't sold a single share yet. Although I didn't catch the gains in storage stocks this year,
my Palantir position built at 130 and NVIDIA at 185 have been decent.
$Ps S&P 500 Mmtm(SPMO.US)$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)
If I add more funds later, I'll only buy index funds.
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
This is a risk point for Palantir (some partnerships may be terminated due to Palantir's pro-US and pro-Israel political stance).
But it also serves as proof of its strength, as we haven't seen any partners terminate cooperation due to poor results or better alternatives yet.
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
Haha
Those who understand, understand.
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) had a bizarrely large drop. A possible reason is still Burry's continued bearish view, saying Anthropic will eat into PLTR's market share.
What's my take? I believe the two are fundamentally competing in different dimensions. PLTR's moat lies in the data structuring of its ontology (including security, workflow logic, data access, etc.). On top of this platform, it can adapt to various LLMs, and users can also choose independently. This is a relatively heavy data asset moat. The business model starts from the platform and expands upwards (large model applications) and downwards (data infrastructure governance).
As a leading LLM, Anthropic's business model is to excel at the application layer and may expand into the platform layer. However, the barriers to entry for a platform are very high, especially regarding military-political data security access. Anthropic's cooperation with the Pentagon is also built on PLTR's Gotham platform, which is what grants it access to military data.
I still agree with Karp's view that LLMs are a commodity. The real moat is built on understanding business scenarios, and that's exactly what ontology is doing.
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
My position is at 50%.
Otherwise, I would add more.
Go to bed early, bros!
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)
Oh hahaha
Go to bed early
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)
Don't move recklessly
In turbulent times, it's even more important to have composure
Rest early, bros
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)$NAYUKI(02150.HK)
If anyone really sold Palantir at 120
and then went to buy Nayuki's Tea
they would truly be the cream of the crop.
$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
Since clearing my BMNR position in January
I've slowly started buying back NVIDIA and Palantir
I bought a relatively large position in Palantir at 130
Surprisingly, I found my year-to-date return has reached 10%
Not easy, really not easy at all 😂
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
Still 0 transactions recently
Wanted to try Claude Code, but it requires a subscription, so forget it.
Used Trae as a substitute, but it's still not easy to use.
They are still focused on programming.
Still prefer using OpenClaw, feels more versatile.
Currently, besides using it for my own work
Also set up some convenient systems for friends.
Must, must embrace AI.
Hold NVIDIA tight, hold Palantir tight.
Bros, get some good rest.
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Ondas(ONDS.US)
Another few days of holding positions and lying flat.
Still playing OpenClaw like crazy.
It's already being used in all aspects of work.
Who says every day they don't know what to use AI for?
Let it go to work for you 🤭
😂People don't get it
I've been saying I'll even slowly reduce my NVIDIA holdings
But won't reduce my Palantir holdings
The difficulty of disruption is completely different
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) Overly focusing on the P/E ratio is not quite appropriate. The P/E ratio is a reference, but not the only one.
Military and government recognition and trust are the best demonstration of moat capability. It doesn't need to immediately find so many government and corporate clients to give it orders; it just needs to prove that it is currently the only one of its kind in this field.
Just like $Costco Wholesale(COST.US) is also a perennial high P/E player. The reason is none other than stability, reliability, strong business model, and a deep moat; other peers are simply not comparable.
Even a giant like $Walmart(WMT.US) cannot achieve better performance than Sam's Club on a global scale (Mainland China is an exception, due to Walmart's first-mover advantage and years of cultivating supply chains and localization here).
$Duolingo(DUOL.US)
Isn't the AI teacher strong?
This kind of software stock with no barriers to entry
Once the valuation is slashed, it really won't come back
Bros, get some rest early
$EOS Energy Enterprises(EOSE.US)
Revenue exploded but fell short of the company's own previous guidance.
Forget it, I've sold off both of these small-cap stocks.
Boring, I'll just keep lying flat on Palantir and Nvda.
$Navitas Semiconductor(NVTS.US)
$EOS Energy Enterprises(EOSE.US)
$Navitas Semiconductor(NVTS.US)
I bought two lottery companies based on gut feeling before, with a combined position of about 3%, and both are already down 20 points.
Today, I went to look at their 10-Q reports, and their financing methods are still different.
You can see NVTS's financing method is ATM, but EOSE's methods are warrants and DOE Loan. The differences are as follows:
1 DOE Loan: A low-interest loan from the U.S. Department of Energy. The company needs to repay principal and interest, but the interest rate is much lower than commercial loans. This financing method does not dilute equity and has government backing.
2 Warrants: Institutions and the company agree on a future price to buy the company's stock. Usually, it's triggered only when the company reaches a new development stage, similar to institutions buying call options on the company. Although it eventually dilutes equity, it has the bullish sentiment of institutions as backing. That's how Ondas $Ondas(ONDS.US) got its huge cash.
3 ATM: I always thought this thing only existed in DATs like $Strategy(MSTR.US)$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US). I didn't expect NVTS to finance this way too. This financing method directly dilutes equity. It's equivalent to shareholders directly giving money to the company to buy coins or cover operating expenses.
Just sharing some views, not investment advice. I am only heavily invested in $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) and $NVIDIA(NVDA.US).
$Salesforce(CRM.US)
Should actively embrace AI
Invest more funds in building AgentForce
The per-seat pricing model is bound to be disrupted
Only when AgentForce's revenue contribution becomes the majority will CRM's transformation be considered successful
Customers pay for outcomes
This is exactly what Palantir has been doing
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)
CRM Trans: Organic rev. growth to re-accelerate in H2 FY ---
Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of $Salesforce(CRM.US) FY26 Q4 earnings call.
For our earnings analysis, cf. 'Salesforce: The AI replacement thesis sweeps the field — has the SaaS leader been cast aside?'Key takeaways recap
1) Q1 guidance: revenue of $11.03–11.08bn, implying reported growth of ~12–13%.Management also guides Q1 CRPO to grow ~14% YoY on a reported basis ...
I previously invested in some small-cap stocks
Purely based on a big-picture logic
Didn't carefully examine the products and financial data
Financial data is actually easier
Small companies' products are really hard to understand
Hard to judge the turning point
Need to have a clearer mind in the future
Distinguish between wealth brought by luck
And wealth brought by knowledge
Can't always rely on the river card, need to rely more on the hand cards😂
$Navitas Semiconductor(NVTS.US)
Actually, the earnings report was a complete mess.
But the company said that revenue from AI data centers already makes up the bulk of current revenue, and they are confident they can return to growth in the next year.
To be honest, I didn't understand the technical details either.
Anyway, if it goes up, it means the market bought this story.
If it goes down, it means they didn't. 🤨
This lottery ticket of mine was pure luck. I'll gradually reduce this kind of luck-based trading in the future and focus on big bets with sufficient information.
